Bitcoin Surges 1.54% to $107,007.62 as Inflows to Binance Drop 54%

Bitcoin's price surged to $107,007.62 on June 25, marking a 1.54% increase. Despite this rally, inflows to Binance, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, declined sharply. According to CryptoQuant, the average monthly inflows have dropped to 5,700 BTC, which is less than half of the historical average of 12,000 BTC and almost three times lower than the levels seen when Bitcoin first reached $100,000. Notably, inflows surged to 24,000 BTC during the FTX collapse in 2022. This decline in inflows suggests a shift in investor sentiment, with many choosing to hold onto their Bitcoin rather than sell.

TC.com Mining Pool, a major contributor to Binance flows, has slowed its transfers. This behavior indicates rising confidence among miners and investors, as they are less inclined to sell their holdings despite the price surge. Bitcoin’s resilience above $100K, despite macro pressures and geopolitical tensions, shows a market leaning toward long-term holding. Historically, big spikes in inflows have coincided with local market tops. In contrast, the present data points to lower selling activity and a shift in investor sentiment. The sharp decline in Bitcoin inflows suggests that traders are not rushing to cash out. Instead, they appear to be holding on, expecting the trend to continue upward.

On June 25, US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $588.6 million, the highest single-day inflow this month. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust brought in $436.3 million, while Fidelity’s FBTC received $217.6 million. Smaller players like Bitwise and VanEck added capital, while Grayscale’s GBTC saw an $85.2 million outflow. Since June 10, ETF inflows have topped $2.2 billion across 11 consecutive days. This trend comes as MicroStrategy purchased 1,500 BTC in Q2 2025, betting against the wider market mood. Investors are moving into Bitcoin despite uncertain macro signals. These ETF inflows, paired with falling exchange activity, show institutional support is rising. The divergence between growing demand and reduced exchange inflows gives Bitcoin more upside potential.

Bitcoin briefly fell 4% to $103,556 after geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran flared up earlier in June. Within days, the price rebounded past $106,800 following a ceasefire. That quick recovery echoes past performance. During the pandemic in 2020, Bitcoin climbed 131% from its lows. When Terra collapsed in 2022, Bitcoin rallied faster than gold. The recent rebound suggests that markets continue to treat Bitcoin as a long-term asset, not a speculative one. As tensions ease, investors seem more willing to park funds in crypto. Bitcoin inflows have not risen despite recent volatility, a sign that panic selling has not returned.

BTC.com, which accounts for nearly 98% of all Bitcoin sent from miners to Binance, shows a distinct pattern. When prices rise, their flow increases, suggesting miners are booking profits. But when flows drop, it signals strong confidence, with miners choosing to hold instead of sell. Recently, despite Bitcoin trading above $100,000, BTC.com’s flow to Binance has fallen sharply. This suggests miners anticipate further gains and are holding back from selling. Their strategic behavior, selling at peaks and holding during bullish phases, offers a reliable lens into market sentiment. Monitoring their moves gives valuable insight into where Bitcoin might head next.

Bitcoin’s current $107k price crossed the resistance of $106k. However, due to geopolitical tensions, this isn’t considered to be the steady state. If it falls below $105k, there is a chance of slipping directly to $100k. The BTC shift depends on upcoming economic changes and the Federal Reserve’s approval of rate cuts. Until then, traders must keep their eyes on Bitcoin inflows, investor behaviour, and price changes.