Bitcoin Could Reach $220,000 by 2025, Analysts Predict

Coin WorldSaturday, May 17, 2025 8:01 am ET
1min read

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, is projected to reach $220,000 by 2025, according to predictions based on its historical correlation with gold. This optimistic outlook is driven by the theory that Bitcoin's price movements often mirror those of gold, albeit with a delay of several months. Analysts are increasingly focusing on this relationship to forecast Bitcoin's future performance.

One analyst, known as Apsk32, has presented a "stepped price curve" model on the social network X. This model suggests that Bitcoin's four-year cycle could lead to a significant rise in its value this year. According to Apsk32, Bitcoin's position relative to gold has improved significantly since April, indicating a potential for higher-than-expected returns later this year. The "stepped price curve" concept involves measuring Bitcoin's network value in ounces of gold to exclude the inflationary nature of the U.S. dollar.

Based on this model, if Bitcoin's network value measured in gold continues to follow the stepped price curve and gold maintains its current value, the cryptocurrency could reach $444,000 as early as this year. However, a more "reasonable" target for 2025, according to Apsk32, is $220,000. He suggests that reaching above $250,000 would be considered "above expectations" but acknowledges that there is a good chance of hitting the $220,000 mark.

Continuing the gold theme, another analyst, Sam Callahan, has examined data showing how high Bitcoin could go if it captures various shares of gold’s market capitalization. According to Callahan, if gold reaches $5,000 an ounce by 2030 and Bitcoin takes 50% of its market capitalization, that would put BTC at $924,000. This scenario is based on the shift to "digital gold," a trend expected to gain momentum in the coming years. The data from the latest In Gold We Trust report suggests that Bitcoin’s correlation with gold will continue to be a crucial factor in analyzing its long-term prospects.

Current projections indicate that Bitcoin has the potential for significant growth in the coming years. The cryptocurrency could reach six figures as early as 2025 and approach $1 million by the end of 2030. These forecasts are based on the historical price movements of gold and the increasing acceptance of Bitcoin as a store of value, similar to gold. The optimistic outlook for Bitcoin is supported by the growing interest in digital assets and the potential for further adoption as a form of "digital gold."

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