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Bitcoin Price Could Surge 100% to $175,000 in Six Months, Analyst Says

Coin WorldThursday, May 1, 2025 5:14 am ET

1min read

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. has outlined three potential scenarios for Bitcoin's price movement over the next six months. According to the analyst, the current on-chain momentum of Bitcoin is exhibiting signs of "ignition," which could significantly impact its price trajectory.

In the most optimistic scenario, if a key indicator breaks above 1.0 and maintains that level, Bitcoin's price could surge to between $150,000 and $175,000. This scenario suggests a strong bullish trend driven by robust on-chain activity and investor confidence.

In the baseline scenario, the indicator is expected to fluctuate between 0.8 and 1.0. Under these conditions, Bitcoin's price is likely to stabilize within the range of $90,000 to $110,000. This scenario reflects a more moderate outlook, where the cryptocurrency experiences steady growth without extreme volatility.

In the pessimistic scenario, if the indicator drops to above 0.75, short-term holders may decide to sell their holdings, leading to a potential price decline. In this case, Bitcoin's price could fall to between $70,000 and $85,000. This scenario highlights the risks associated with market sentiment and short-term trading behaviors.

Considering the previous market corrections, the analyst suggests that the first two scenarios—optimistic and baseline—are more likely to materialize. This assessment is based on the current market conditions and historical price movements, indicating a cautious yet optimistic outlook for Bitcoin's future performance.

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