Bitcoin Price Could Surge 1,100% If US Buys 1 Million BTC

Bitcoin has once again captured the attention of the financial world, not merely due to market fluctuations, but because of a daring prediction from the Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI). The institute suggests that if the US government were to accumulate 1 million BTC, the price of Bitcoin could surge to $1 million. While this scenario is purely hypothetical, it underscores the growing interest in positioning Bitcoin as a cornerstone of America’s strategic future. Zach Shapiro, the head of policy at BPI, discussed this possibility on a recent Bitcoin Magazine podcast, highlighting how such a move could send shockwaves through global markets and significantly boost the BTC price.

This bold projection aligns with President Donald Trump’s executive order from March 7, which laid the groundwork for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The order indicates a shift in the US approach to Bitcoin, viewing it as a strategic resource akin to gold, rather than just a digital asset. Matthew Pines, the executive director at BPI, emphasized that building a substantial BTC Reserve would be crucial for establishing the US as a global leader in Bitcoin. As other nations closely monitor America’s stance, Trump’s evolving crypto strategy is becoming a pivotal factor in the global digital economy.

One of the most intriguing ideas emerging from this discussion is how the US could fund this Bitcoin Reserve without increasing taxes. Pines proposed using revenue from recent tariffs as a “budget-neutral” method to acquire BTC. This aligns with Trump’s tariff policy, particularly after the April 2 order that introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports. Other non-tax sources, such as gold sales and federal royalties, could also contribute to this funding. This policy shift is influencing market sentiment, with the potential impact already being priced in by investors.

On April 16th, 2025, the BTC price on a 5-minute chart displayed distinct market phases. Initially, there was a bullish uptrend within an ascending channel, followed by a strong rejection near the resistance zone around $86,000. This resistance level proved significant as the price swiftly reversed, initiating a sharp downtrend within a descending channel. The RSI indicators frequently touched or exceeded the overbought threshold during the rally, signaling buyer exhaustion before the correction began. MACD golden crosses supported the initial bullish momentum, while subsequent death crosses aligned with the bearish channel breakdown, confirming the trend shift. The RSI during the decline repeatedly entered oversold territory, suggesting temporary bounces were likely, yet momentum remained predominantly bearish.

Buyers stepped in as the price reached the support zone near $83,000, halting the decline and initiating a sideways consolidation. This support has held multiple tests, reinforcing its strength. Multiple MACD golden crosses have emerged in this consolidation phase, signaling improving momentum, and the RSI has climbed above 60, suggesting a shift in sentiment. The BTC price is pushing higher toward the mid-range, indicating early bullish intent, but it remains below resistance. The support and resistance zones are key inflection points for any upcoming breakout or breakdown.

With technical signals turning bullish and major macro narratives heating up, Bitcoin is at a critical tipping point. The idea of a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, potentially funded by Trump’s new tariff policies, has added fresh fuel to long-term price speculation. On the chart, BTC has respected key support and shows signs of renewed strength, with RSI recovery and MACD golden crosses pointing toward a shift in sentiment. As buyers step back in and the price edges upward, all eyes are now on the resistance zone. If momentum holds, BTC looks poised to rechallenge the $86,000 level soon.