Bitcoin's Price Peak: $165K in 2025, Warns Copper.co

Copper.co, a leading crypto custody firm, has recently published a unique analysis of Bitcoin's price trajectory, blending technical indicators with historical returns, volatility clustering, and daily range behavior to forecast potential price outcomes. The firm's research, led by Fadi Aboualfa, aimed not to pinpoint a specific peak for Bitcoin but to identify price points at which traders might consider the market to be overextended.

The model indicated "concern levels" for Bitcoin between $140,000 and $200,000 throughout 2025. High-accuracy simulations paralleling last year's calmer volatility profile signaled a potential breach near $165,000 in June. However, the study clarifies that these are not levels Bitcoin will necessarily reach, but if it does, the market might be suggesting a potential peak.

Copper.co's report highlights the often-overlooked factor of Bitcoin's declining 30-day rolling volatility, noting that low volatility allows for a longer, smoother price climb. The simulations found that any Bitcoin price dip is projected to be short-lived. However, the report warns that targets can be negated by external catalysts, such as a strategic reserve announcement by the US.

The analysis comes as Bitcoin's price has fluctuated between $109,000 and $93,000, with price predictions remaining a normal part of industry fodder. Copper.co's approach offers a fresh perspective on Bitcoin's price trajectory, incorporating a range of technical indicators and historical data to inform its projections.