Bitcoin's Price May Be Falling, But Analysts Are Focused on a Deeper Question: Is the Crypto's Four-Year Cycle Coming to an End?

Sunday, Dec 21, 2025 12:56 pm ET1min read

Bitcoin's price may not be the only focus of analysts, as structural signals guiding its four-year cycle are being reevaluated. Fading demand indicators, rising exchange flows, and a growing divide among analysts suggest that the crypto may be breaking free from its historical cycle. Some believe it's entering a post-peak correction, while others argue it may not follow the traditional cycle. The Coinbase Bitcoin premium, often used to gauge US institutional demand, remains negative, indicating hesitation rather than capitulation. On-chain data shows Bitcoin exchange inflows surging to levels historically associated with late-cycle behavior.

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