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Bitcoin's price experienced a sharp decline, falling 22% from its peak of over $109,000 reached on January 20. This sudden drop has caused significant concern among investors, with market sentiment shifting to “Extreme Fear.” However, analysts argue that this correction is a typical occurrence within a bull market and does not signal the end of the current upward trend.
Bitfinex analysts noted that several key technical indicators have turned bearish, raising concerns that the bull cycle might be ending prematurely. Despite this, they emphasized that corrections are a normal part of bull markets. Historical data suggests that this downturn is more likely a reset rather than the beginning of a prolonged bear market.
Despite the recent price drop, Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain strong. Institutional demand continues to drive the market, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs temporarily surpassing $125 billion in cumulative holdings. This indicates that while the traditional four-year cycle still influences Bitcoin's price, growing institutional adoption may be altering its market behavior.
Bitcoin recently closed above $84,000 for the first time in over a week. Analysts pointed out that Bitcoin's price is closely tied to traditional financial markets, particularly the S&P 500. The key support range is seen between $72,000 and $73,000, and broader economic trends, such as global treasury yields and equity markets, could influence Bitcoin's next major move.
The halving cycle, which occurs every four years, remains a significant factor in Bitcoin's price movements. Since the last halving on April 20, 2024, Bitcoin has seen a substantial increase of over 31%. While institutional adoption has been a strong driver, halving events are still expected to exert long-term influence on the market.
In conclusion, the recent 22% drop in Bitcoin's price has caused panic among investors. However, analysts view this correction as a normal part of the bull market cycle. The long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, driven by strong institutional demand and the continued relevance of the halving cycle.

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