Bitcoin Plummets 10.6% as High-Entry Buyers Panic-Sell
Bitcoin has been experiencing significant sell pressure, driven by buyers who entered the market at higher price points. These buyers, who purchased Bitcoin around its all-time high of $109,000 in January, are now panic-selling as the cryptocurrency declines. This trend has been described as a "moderate capitulation event," indicating that the market is undergoing a period of intense loss realization.
The surge in buyers paying higher prices for Bitcoin in recent months is evident in the short-term holder realized price, which is the average purchase price for those holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days. In October, this price was $62,000, but it has since risen to $91,362, reflecting a 47% increase over five months. However, with Bitcoin currently trading at $81,930, the average short-term holder is facing an unrealized loss of approximately 10.6%.
Glassnode's analysis suggests that the market momentum and capital flows have turned negative, signaling a decline in demand strength. This shift is affecting investor sentiment and confidence, with short-term holders finding themselves "deeply underwater" between $71,300 and $91,900. If the selling pressure continues, Glassnode warns that Bitcoin could bottom out as low as $70,000, forming a temporary floor in this zone.
The current market dynamics are reminiscent of a similar sell-off pattern observed in August, when Bitcoin fell from $68,000 to around $49,000. This decline was driven by fears of a recession, poor employment data in the United States, and sluggish growth among leading tech stocks. Despite these challenges, Bitcoin has shown resilience, spiking 7.5% over the past 24 hours as the US market steadied after a previous day's plunge.
Market research firm 10x Research has labeled the current situation as a "textbook correction," noting that approximately 70% of all selling came from investors who bought within the last three months. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has also weighed in, suggesting that Bitcoin may retest the $78,000 price level and, if that fails, could head to $75,000 next.
The persistent sell pressure from high-entry buyers is a critical factor driving the current market dynamics. As investors grapple with unrealized losses and market uncertainty, the potential for a temporary floor at $70,000 remains a significant consideration. The market's ability to stabilize and recover will depend on various factors, including investor sentiment, broader economic conditions, and the resilience of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

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