Bitcoin's Performance During Wars: A Crash-Then-Rally Pattern

Monday, Mar 16, 2026 4:45 pm ET1min read
BTC--

Bitcoin's performance during wars is characterized by a crash followed by a rally, with the cryptocurrency recovering within 50-60 days. Across 20 major geopolitical events, Bitcoin averaged a 31.2% gain after 50 days. Despite recent conflicts, Bitcoin has historically rebounded, with its correlation with gold turning negative and its correlation with the Nasdaq surging. Geopolitical conflicts often lead to higher inflation rates, which benefits Bitcoin.

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