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The Bitcoin options market has experienced a remarkable surge, with open interest reaching an all-time high of around $65 billion. This surge is driven by a significant increase in bets, particularly on options tied to BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, which has seen $20 billion in notional open interest outstanding. This level of participation mirrors the high engagement seen in November, indicating a strong and widespread interest in Bitcoin's potential price movements.
According to Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at a crypto data provider, the current market data suggests that Bitcoin's price is likely to rally into a range between $116,000 and $120,000. This bullish sentiment is further supported by the fact that the options market on top of BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF is one of the most actively traded, showcasing strong adoption and enthusiasm for Bitcoin.
Excluding options on BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, the open interest for Bitcoin options peaked around $46 billion in late November. This metric tracks the dollar value of contracts outstanding, which allow speculators to bet on price movements using leverage. The current bullish trend in the Bitcoin options market is evident, with traders favoring out-of-the-money call options, indicating an expectation of further price increases. However, there has been a slight increase in bearish bets, suggesting some caution among traders.
On a major crypto derivatives exchange, traders have shown a clear preference for call options, with $23 billion worth of call options outstanding compared to $13.9 billion worth of put options. This preference for call options further underscores the bullish sentiment in the market, as traders anticipate significant price gains for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's recent price movements have been impressive, with the cryptocurrency trading at around $111,800, marking a 4.2% increase over the past day. Over the past 30 days, its price has increased by 23%, highlighting a strong upward trend. This price appreciation is a testament to the growing confidence in Bitcoin's potential, driven by various factors including increased institutional interest and favorable market conditions.

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