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Stablecoin liquidity has stalled, prompting a red alert from data analysis firm CryptoQuant, which has raised concerns about the potential impact on Bitcoin’s market dynamics. The firm’s
Bull Score model, which integrates on-chain data such as exchange flows, trader profit margins, and stablecoin activity, has turned red, signaling reduced buying power and potentially heralding a downturn in the market [1]. This development is particularly significant given that stablecoins, such as Tether and , account for a large portion of market liquidity and are essential for DeFi and Bitcoin trading [1].The red signal indicates that fresh capital is not flowing into the crypto market, which could lead to a decline in market activity, a reduction in price discovery, and increased volatility. This is a worrying trend for investors and traders who rely on stablecoin liquidity to facilitate transactions and hedge positions. The stall in liquidity could also hinder Bitcoin’s ability to maintain its upward trajectory, particularly as the market has already seen outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and a drop in Bitcoin's price below $65,000 [1].
The red alert from CryptoQuant aligns with broader market anxieties as traditional investors begin to reassess their exposure to Bitcoin. While the recent approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs generated some optimism, it did not result in the expected sustained inflows of capital into the asset class [3]. This suggests that institutional interest, though growing, remains cautious and is closely tied to macroeconomic conditions and regulatory clarity.
Adding to the uncertainty is the evolving regulatory landscape, including recent SEC-related lawsuits against major players in the crypto industry. These legal developments have introduced further ambiguity into the market, prompting investors to monitor regulatory outcomes closely [5]. In this context, the potential inclusion of cryptocurrency in U.S. 401(k) plans could either inject new capital into the market or complicate its dynamics, depending on the speed and clarity of implementation [1].
Despite the cautionary signals, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s future. For instance, Standard Chartered’s Jeff Kendrick has forecasted a significant price increase for Bitcoin by the end of 2025, particularly in light of the U.S. presidential election. However, such projections should be treated with caution, as they are based on speculative assumptions rather than established trends [6].
As the market continues to navigate these developments, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether the current signals indicate a short-term correction or the start of a more prolonged period of market consolidation. Investors are being advised to monitor upcoming reports and regulatory developments for further clarity.
Source:
[1] https://cryptodnes.bg/en/tag/bitcoin/page/56/
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