Bitcoin News Today: September Token Unlocks May Drive TRUMP Volatility as $178.67M Supply Enters Market

Token unlocks scheduled for September 2025 could introduce heightened short-term volatility in the cryptocurrency market, with specific risks concentrated on mid-month dates. According to data from on-chain analytics platforms such as DefiLlama and Tokenomist, the largest unlock events are expected to occur between mid-September, with peak daily unlock volumes reaching approximately 350 million tokens. Cumulative unlock values over a 30-day period are projected to total around $838.5 million, with weekly unlocks estimated at roughly $227.8 million [1].

Tokens most at risk from significant percentage unlocks include TRUMP and SVL. For instance, TRUMP is set to unlock approximately 6.83% of its total supply, valued at around $178.67 million [1]. This represents a notable liquidity event that could pressure the token’s price, especially if holders decide to sell the newly available supply. In contrast, blue-chip assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) face minimal percentage unlock risks—0.07% and 0.36%, respectively—suggesting that their structural supply risk remains low despite the large nominal values involved [1].

The timing of these unlocks aligns with a key macroeconomic event window. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming FOMC meeting could amplify market reactions, particularly for tokens like TRUMP and SVL, where volatility is more likely. Investors and traders are advised to monitor on-chain flow indicators, such as vested token movements and exchange inflows, to better anticipate potential price movements. These factors are critical in determining whether unlocked tokens translate into immediate sell pressure [1].

The unlock schedule reveals a staggered pattern. Minor unlocks began as early as August 25, with a more significant spike occurring on August 29. September starts with approximately 180 million tokens unlocking, peaking near 350 million on key days, before tapering off below 50 million by September 21 [1]. This clustering suggests that while early September unlocks are manageable, mid-month spikes could test market resilience and liquidity, particularly for tokens with high unlock percentages.

For investors, key actions include tracking unlock calendars via platforms like DefiLlama, observing exchange inflows, and setting clear position-management rules for peak unlock days. The ability to anticipate and react to liquidity events can significantly impact risk exposure and trade outcomes [1].

While TRUMP and SVL face elevated unlock risks, Bitcoin and Solana remain structurally stable in the short term. Their low percentage unlocks reduce the likelihood of systemic supply shocks. However, traders should not overlook the potential for amplified volatility if macroeconomic events coincide with major unlock dates [1].

In summary, the September token unlock schedule presents a concentrated liquidity event that could influence short-term price dynamics. For tokens like TRUMP and SVL, the risk is more pronounced, requiring closer monitoring of market flows and sell-side activity. Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Solana remain less exposed, offering a relative degree of stability in the broader context of the unlock window [1].

Source: [1] September Token Unlocks Could Pressure TRUMP, While Bitcoin Likely Sees Limited Short-Term Supply Impact (https://en.coinotag.com/september-token-unlocks-could-pressure-trump-while-bitcoin-likely-sees-limited-short-term-supply-impact/)