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Bitcoin continues to exhibit resilience in the face of recent volatility, with recent Federal Reserve signals and regulatory shifts sparking renewed discussions around its potential for a significant price rebound. On August 21, 2025, the U.S. spot
ETFs recorded a net outflow of $194.4 million, led by major funds such as BlackRock’s , Fidelity’s FBTC, and ARK’s , which experienced outflows of $127.5 million, $31.8 million, and $43.3 million, respectively [4]. However, this outflow occurred amid broader macroeconomic shifts and regulatory developments that could still support long-term bullish sentiment.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium hinted at a potential rate cut in September 2025, sparking a brief but notable recovery in Bitcoin’s price. Following a near 10% decline earlier in the month to around $112,000, Bitcoin briefly rebounded to $114,200 in response to the Fed’s signals of monetary easing [1]. This reaction highlights the strong correlation between traditional monetary policy and the behavior of digital assets, particularly Bitcoin, which often amplifies the effects of central bank decisions.
In parallel, the Federal Reserve took a major step to normalize banking for
firms by removing reputational risk from its supervisory framework. Vice Chair Michelle Bowman emphasized the importance of regulatory certainty and tailored oversight, stating that banks can now serve compliant crypto businesses without fear of penalties. This policy shift, announced at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium, signals the Fed’s move away from an overly cautious stance on blockchain and digital assets [2]. The decision is expected to ease barriers for institutional players, potentially boosting long-term adoption and integration of crypto solutions.Despite these developments, Bitcoin ETF flows remain mixed. While some funds such as EZBC and BTC recorded minor inflows, others, including BITB, BTCO, BRRR, HODL, and GBTC, showed zero net flows [4]. The stagnation in institutional inflows may reflect macroeconomic headwinds, including rising Japanese government bond yields and uncertainty around Fed policy. Historically, periods of flat ETF flows have often coincided with range-bound price action, and the current conditions suggest a potential consolidation phase for Bitcoin [3].
On-chain data also reflects cautious behavior among large holders. A major wallet sold 660 BTC while shifting into
, indicating a broader trend of portfolio rotations. This activity aligns with the recent $1 billion in inflows into Ethereum ETFs, which have helped push ETH to $4,200 [3]. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s active addresses remain steady, averaging around 800,000 daily, suggesting that retail participation continues to provide a stabilizing force in the market.As Bitcoin navigates these mixed signals, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether the current consolidation phase will give way to a new upward trend or further corrections. With the Fed’s September decision looming and regulatory clarity emerging, investors and traders remain closely watching for signs of renewed institutional confidence, which could propel Bitcoin toward the $150,000 level in the months ahead.
Source:
[1] Federal Reserve Chair Powell Signals Potential for September Interest Rate Reduction, Bitcoin Value Increases (https://www.radom.com/insights/federal-reserve-chair-powell-signals-potential-for-september-interest-rate-reduction-bitcoin-value-increases)
[2] Federal Reserve Removes Barriers for US Banks Serving Bitcoin Firms (https://bitbo.io/news/fed-removes-barriers-bitcoin-banking/)
[3] Bitcoin (BTC-USD) ETFs Stall: Zero Flows at Franklin (https://www.tradingnews.com/news/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-usd-etf-flows-stall-as-btc-holds-113k-usd)
[4] Bitcoin ETF Flows (BTC): $194.4M Net Outflow on 2025-08-21 Led by IBIT, ARKB, FBTC — Daily Flow Data (https://blockchain.news/flashnews/bitcoin-etf-flows-btc-194-4m-net-outflow-on-2025-08-21-led-by-ibit-arkb-fbtc-daily-flow-data)
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