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Kalshi has secured $300 million in a new funding round, valuing the prediction market startup at $5 billion, according to multiple reports[1]. The Series D round, led by Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz, also included Paradigm, CapitalG, and
Ventures[2]. This marks a significant increase from its $2 billion valuation in June 2025, following a $185 million raise[3]. The company plans to expand its services to over 140 countries, moving beyond its U.S. base[4]. Kalshi projects an annual trading volume of approximately $50 billion, a substantial jump from its 2024 figures[5].The funding surge coincides with Kalshi surpassing rival Polymarket in global market share. In September 2025, Kalshi captured 62.2% of total prediction market trading volume, compared to Polymarket's 37%[6]. This shift reflects Kalshi's aggressive expansion into sports-based contracts, which now account for over 75% of its activity[7]. However, the company faces legal challenges in the U.S., with Massachusetts suing it over alleged unlicensed sports betting operations[8]. Kalshi has responded by filing a federal lawsuit against Ohio regulators, arguing its markets fall under federal CFTC oversight[9].
Meanwhile, Polymarket announced a $2 billion investment from
(ICE), valuing it at $9 billion[10]. This move positions Polymarket to re-enter the U.S. market after a 2022 regulatory ban[11]. ICE's involvement underscores growing institutional confidence in prediction markets, with the exchange planning to distribute Polymarket's data to financial institutions[12].Beyond prediction markets,
miners are emerging as key players in AI infrastructure. Bernstein analysts highlighted that miners control over 14 gigawatts of secured power capacity, offering a faster and cheaper path to scale AI data centers amid grid congestion[13]. Leading miner IREN, with 3 gigawatts of operational and under-development power capacity, is positioned as a top beneficiary[14]. The company has acquired 23,300 GPUs, including NVIDIA's Blackwell models, and expects AI cloud revenue to exceed $500 million annually by early 2026[15]. Bernstein reiterated its $75 price target for IREN, citing its strategic role in bridging volatile mining and stable AI hosting[16].The convergence of AI demand and power infrastructure is reshaping the data center landscape. With interconnection delays stretching to seven years, miners' pre-secured power and existing cooling systems provide a competitive edge[17]. Microsoft has flagged persistent data center shortages through 2026, further validating the sector's potential[18].

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