Bitcoin News Today: Pantera Capital Accurately Forecasts Bitcoin Surge to $117,482 Amid Halving Cycle and Institutional Adoption

Pantera Capital’s Dan Morehead has been recognized for accurately forecasting Bitcoin’s price to reach $117,482 by August 11, 2025, a prediction made in November 2022 when Bitcoin was nearing its cycle low [1]. This forecast was based on historical halving cycle analysis, a method Pantera has consistently applied to Bitcoin’s price modeling. The firm’s chart from 2022 mapped Bitcoin’s halving rallies and showed diminishing returns after each four-year epoch. Factoring in the typical timing between market bottoms and post-halving rallies, the firm projected the price would reach $117,482 by the end of 2025 [1]. On August 11, 2025, Bitcoin closed above $119,000, validating the firm’s forecast with strong accuracy [1].

Bitcoin’s price has surged over 660% from its 2022 low of just below $16,000, a recovery that underscores the predictive power of the four-year halving cycles. These cycles typically follow a pattern of post-halving rally, cycle peak, correction, and accumulation [1]. Analysts like Bob Loukas have also used this cycle theory to map Bitcoin’s price movements, with Loukas identifying the start of a new cycle in early 2023 [1].

Institutional adoption has introduced new variables into Bitcoin’s traditional cycle narrative. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) now hold approximately 1.491 million BTC, or 7.1% of the total supply, while public and private companies collectively hold another 1.36 million BTC [1]. This growing institutional demand has raised questions about whether the traditional four-year cycles will remain as predictive as before. Jason Williams, for example, has argued that Bitcoin’s institutionalization suggests the four-year cycle may no longer be a dominant factor [1].

Despite these challenges, Pantera Capital’s success in aligning with historical cycles suggests that both fundamental and structural market forces continue to play a role in Bitcoin’s valuation. The firm’s ability to anticipate price movements based on halving patterns, combined with emerging institutional dynamics, highlights the evolving complexity of the market. As Bitcoin approaches new highs, investors must weigh both historical trends and current market developments to make informed decisions [1].

Source: [1]Pantera Capital’s Accurate Bitcoin Price Prediction Highlights Halving Cycle Impact and Institutional Adoption Trends (https://en.coinotag.com/pantera-capitals-accurate-bitcoin-price-prediction-highlights-halving-cycle-impact-and-institutional-adoption-trends/)