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Tom Lee, the executive chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies, has issued a stark warning about Bitcoin's near-term prospects, predicting a potential drop to $83,000 amid a broader bear market that has gripped the crypto sector since October. The forecast, which highlights structural vulnerabilities in the market, comes as institutional investors increasingly turn to alternative assets like MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock to hedge against crypto losses
.Lee attributed the recent volatility to a combination of technical failures and deliberate market manipulation. During an appearance on CNBC, he pointed to a "mechanical glitch" in a stablecoin pricing feed during the October 10 crash, which triggered a cascade of liquidations. The incident,
, exposed fragility in crypto market infrastructure. Lee also echoed claims by investor Mike Alfred that powerful entities are actively suppressing Bitcoin's price, though he declined to name specific actors .The broader market's reliance on
as a hedging tool has deepened these structural issues. Lee described the company's stock as a "pressure valve" for the crypto industry, noting that institutional traders short MSTR to offset exposure due to a lack of liquid derivatives. MSTR's 650,000 BTC holdings—valued at over $70 billion at current prices—have made its stock a proxy for the cryptocurrency's performance . This dynamic has over the past month, as traders exploit its liquidity to hedge against crypto downturns.
Compounding the challenges,
has erased its 2025 gains, with the price falling below $90,000 as of November 18. The selloff follows a record high of $126,251 in late October, driven by around pro-crypto legislation under President Donald Trump. that macroeconomic concerns, including the U.S. economy's health and quantum computing risks, are overshadowing the asset's long-term potential.Despite the bearish near-term outlook, Lee has also framed Ethereum's current trajectory as a "supercycle" akin to Bitcoin's historic run, predicting multi-year growth if on-chain activity and institutional adoption expand. However,
, arguing that hundreds of rival blockchains offer similar functionalities without the same regulatory and technical risks.The market's fragility is further underscored by the October crash's lingering effects. Binance's post-crash refund of wrongly liquidated users and the collapse of exchange liquidity have left the sector vulnerable to cascading failures. Lee described market makers as the "central banks" of crypto, but their diminished capacity to absorb shocks has left altcoins, mining stocks, and Bitcoin proxies like MSTR as the most exposed assets
.As Bitcoin navigates this turbulent phase, the interplay of technical vulnerabilities, hedging dynamics, and macroeconomic pressures will likely shape its path forward. For now, Lee's warnings—and the market's fragmented response—highlight the unresolved challenges facing a sector still grappling with its own structural evolution.
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