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The return of
McRib sandwich has once again ignited a lighthearted yet persistent meme in crypto circles: the so-called "McRib Indicator." This informal theory suggests that (BTC) tends to rally whenever the limited-time menu item makes a comeback. The correlation, though coincidental, has gained traction among traders and investors, particularly after Bitcoin surged following past McRib reintroductions in 2020, 2023, and 2024, according to a .The latest McRib revival, announced in late October 2025, coincided with a 6% rise in Bitcoin's price from $98,800 to $105,600 in early November, as noted in a
. While skeptics dismiss the link as a mere coincidence, proponents point to historical patterns.
The meme gained renewed attention after McDonald's Senior Marketing Director Guillaume Huin tweeted about the "historic correlation" between the McRib and Bitcoin's performance, noting that the S&P 500 also tends to strengthen during these periods, as reported in the
. Huin's remarks reignited discussions about whether the McRib's return could signal a broader market rebound, especially as Bitcoin navigates a volatile landscape marked by ETF outflows and geopolitical tensions, as reported in the .Crypto analysts and institutional investors, however, offer more concrete reasons for optimism. Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, remains steadfast in her $1 million Bitcoin price target, citing stablecoin growth exceeding $300 billion and Bitcoin's growing institutional adoption as key drivers, as reported in a
. She argues that Bitcoin's role as "digital gold" is strengthening, with macroeconomic factors—such as potential Federal Reserve rate cuts—likely to bolster its appeal. Wood's base case of $650,000 by 2030 aligns with broader trends, including the maturation of the crypto ecosystem and increased corporate treasury allocations to Bitcoin, as noted in a .Eric Trump, executive vice president of the Trump Organization, has also joined the bullish chorus, predicting that Bitcoin could surpass $1 million in the near future. He attributes this to rising global money supply (M2) and the U.S. Federal Reserve's shift away from quantitative tightening. "Fourth quarter has always historically been the best quarter for cryptocurrencies," Trump stated, emphasizing that institutional interest and policy changes could fuel a strong end-of-year rally, as reported in a
.Despite these optimistic forecasts, the McRib Indicator's reliability remains debated. In 2021, Bitcoin plummeted 74% from its peak after the sandwich's return, and 2018 and 2022 saw similar declines, according to the
. Nonetheless, the meme persists, with traders humorously referencing "bullish" McRib seasons on social media platforms like X.Current market conditions add complexity to the narrative. Bitcoin recently dipped below $100,000 for the first time since June 2022 before stabilizing near that level, with mixed ETF flows reflecting investor caution, according to a
. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions, such as China's accusation that the U.S. stole 127,000 BTC worth $13 billion, have introduced short-term volatility, as reported in an . However, proponents argue that Bitcoin's scarcity and institutional adoption could mitigate such risks, echoing Cathie Wood's comparison to gold's market trajectory, as noted in the .For now, the McRib's return continues to serve as a cultural barometer for market sentiment. Whether it signals a genuine turning point for Bitcoin remains uncertain, but the enduring hope it generates underscores the crypto community's penchant for blending humor with high-stakes speculation.
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