Bitcoin News Today: "Macro Forces and EMAs Converge: BTC's $60k Bottom Looms in Big Reset"


Bitcoin price prediction veteran il Capo of Crypto has intensified his bearish stance, forecasting a potential multi-tiered decline in BitcoinBTC-- and altcoins over the weekend and into the following week. The analyst, with over 968,600 followers on X and 128,554 on Telegram, emphasized technical and on-chain signals to justify his outlook. On June 30, 2025, he outlined a scenario where Bitcoin (BTC) could fall below $100,000, test $92,000–$93,000, and potentially reach $60,000–$70,000 as cycle lows. These levels, he argued, represent key support/resistance flips and liquidity clusters that could drive further downward momentum [1].
Il Capo's analysis highlights critical vulnerabilities in altcoins, particularly SolanaSOL-- (SOL), EthereumETH-- (ETH), and high-beta tokens like BNBBNB-- and AAVEAAVE--. He described recent altcoin recoveries as "dead cat bounces," with SOLSOL-- facing a 58% drop into the $60–$80 range and ETH at risk of a 10% pullback if it fails to reclaim key resistance zones. Since late May, he has been systematically adding to short positions across these assets, projecting 50%–80% declines if Bitcoin's descent accelerates [1].

The analyst's framework combines classical chart patterns with on-chain metrics such as exchange flows and whale activity. He noted that Bitcoin's current position above its 20-, 50-, and 100-day EMAs (106k, 104k, 100k) provides temporary support, but a break below the 200-day EMA (~94k) could trigger panic selling. Average true range (ATR) of $2.6k suggests daily swings of $2,000–$3,000 are normal, but a $10,000 overnight drop would require a real-world shock-such as a major exchange outage or regulatory reversal-which he deemed unlikely [1].
Il Capo's warnings extend beyond short-term volatility. In a broader context, he has warned of an impending "Big Reset" linked to macroeconomic trends, including the Federal Reserve's easing cycle and global liquidity dynamics. While acknowledging short-term optimism tied to tariff postponements, he framed the current rally as artificial, driven by ETF inflows and stablecoin issuance. He predicted a cyclical reversal by September 2025, likening it to the November 2021 peak, with BTC's resilience facing unprecedented stress if a global crisis materializes [2].
Market participants are closely monitoring key levels for directional cues. A failure to reclaim $107,000 could reinforce bearish sentiment, while a sustained break above $92,000 might offer temporary respite. However, il Capo's focus remains on risk management, urging traders to tighten stops and prioritize liquidity preservation amid heightened volatility [1].
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