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Bitcoin whale selling pressure appears to be easing, with new structural demand emerging from institutional and mid-tier investors, according to on-chain analytics and market reports. Recent movements of large
holdings, while initially raising alarm, have been contextualized as isolated events rather than signs of a broad market selloff. For instance, a 14-year-old wallet's transfer of 80,000 BTC-valued at nearly $10 billion-was routed to , an institutional over-the-counter (OTC) trading desk, suggesting gradual offloading rather than panic selling [1]. Analysts note that such single-transaction activity does not necessarily signal systemic weakness, especially when adjusted for outliers in metrics like Supply-Adjusted Coin Days Destroyed (SACDD), which dropped to 0.77 after excluding the anomaly, well below peak warning levels [1].Concurrent data reveals broader whale activity remains subdued. A 28-day smoothed average of whale transactions shows no sustained uptick, reinforcing the view that large-scale selling is not a trend [1]. Meanwhile, institutional demand has absorbed significant supply. Since July 2025, ETF net inflows exceeded 34,000 BTC, and strategic acquisitions added over 10,000 BTC, indicating robust institutional appetite [1]. Mid-tier investors-wallets holding 100–1,000 BTC-have also been accumulating, with net outflows from exchanges like Binance exceeding 7,000 BTC since June, signaling reduced short-term sell pressure and increased cold storage activity [5].
Further evidence of structural demand comes from shifting market dynamics. Long-term holder supply has declined, with one-year-plus holdings dropping from 70% to 60% of the circulating supply, while five-year-plus holders remain stable [3]. This suggests that investors realizing gains from recent cycles are not entirely exiting the market but redistributing holdings. Additionally, mid-tier accumulation has become a dominant theme in 2025, with these addresses steadily increasing their holdings despite whale distributions [6]. Analysts attribute this to a "reshuffling" of market structure, where institutional flows are fragmenting into mid-sized custodians rather than remaining concentrated among top whales [6].
Technical indicators also point to evolving market sentiment. Bitcoin's price has stalled around $112,000–$115,000, but derivatives data shows mixed signals. While open interest in futures contracts has declined, funding rates remain positive, reflecting cautious positioning. Short-term volatility and profit-taking have persisted, yet long-term metrics like the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) have rebounded to 31%, hinting at renewed structural demand [5]. Some experts argue that the absence of retail euphoria and overheated on-chain metrics-common at cycle peaks-further supports the case for continued accumulation [6].
The interplay between whale activity and institutional demand underscores a maturing market. While large holders have offloaded over 546,000 BTC since mid-2024, mid-tier investors and ETFs have absorbed much of this supply, reducing exchange liquidity and stabilizing price action [5]. This dynamic aligns with historical patterns where institutional absorption mitigates sell pressure, potentially setting the stage for future rallies. As one analyst noted, "context is king," emphasizing that isolated whale moves should not be conflated with broader market behavior [1].
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