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Bitcoin's recent price action has sparked renewed debate over its near-term trajectory, with a 30% correction from its October 2025 peak to the mid-$80,000s raising concerns about a potential crash.
, analysts and market participants are scrutinizing technical patterns, macroeconomic shifts, and institutional behavior to gauge whether the cryptocurrency is entering a bearish phase or merely consolidating after a historic bull run.The current drawdown follows a sharp sell-off triggered by geopolitical tensions and leveraged liquidations in late October 2025,
from the crypto market. This collapse coincided with record outflows from U.S. spot ETFs, including BlackRock's IBIT, which saw a $523 million single-day redemption . While ETF flows have recently stabilized—with some days showing net inflows— since the products launched.Technical analysts highlight the formation of a bearish chart pattern, with Bitcoin
and testing critical support levels near $80,600. , a level tied to Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy holdings, which could become a focal point for institutional buyers. Meanwhile, veteran chartist Peter Brandt has toward $58,000 before resuming a longer-term uptrend.
Yet, optimism lingers among institutional players. Harvard University has
to $443 million, while Japan's Metaplanet has allocated ¥15 billion for BTC purchases. These moves signal that major institutions view dips as buying opportunities rather than abandonment. the market has transitioned into an accumulation phase, with ETF inflows indicating renewed interest despite the recent crash.Price forecasts vary widely.
and Bitwise, target $150,000–$225,000 by year-end 2025, citing structural demand and potential Fed easing. , suggest a range of $100,000–$135,000, reflecting a consolidation phase. Conversely, a flat trajectory near $85,000, while bearish scenarios warn of 70% drawdowns to $35,000–$40,000.The outcome hinges on several factors: Fed policy, ETF inflow reversals, and institutional accumulation. A resurgence in macroeconomic optimism or regulatory clarity could reignite a rally, while persistent risk-off sentiment or regulatory surprises might deepen the correction.
, "Bitcoin's volatility is a feature, not a bug—investors must prepare for extreme swings."Quickly understand the history and background of various well-known coins

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