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Bitcoin rebounded to $93,000 on November 25, 2025, driven by surging market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, with odds now at 85% for a 25-basis-point reduction
. The rally, which saw climb 1.67% from $87,000 to reclaim $87,000, was fueled by broader crypto market optimism, with surging 11% and . Analysts attributed the momentum to improving liquidity expectations and a shift in macroeconomic sentiment, as .The Federal Reserve's decision to end quantitative tightening on December 1 and its recent 25-basis-point rate cut in October have heightened speculation about further easing
. Market participants are now pricing in a 71% chance of another cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, while on-chain data showed historic exchange outflows for Bitcoin, signaling capitulation by short-term holders and potential stabilization . This dynamic aligns with historical patterns where crypto markets rebound after periods of extreme fear, , which climbed to 25 from 15 in early November.Institutional demand for Bitcoin also gained traction, with Texas purchasing $5 million in BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF and planning a second $5 million self-custodied buy

However, risks remain. ETF outflows and leveraged fund liquidations pressured the market, with large holders reducing exposure by 1.5% in October while retail investors exited en masse
. Derivatives positioning showed mixed signals, including targeting a $100,000–$112,000 range by December. South Korea and Turkmenistan introduced contrasting regulatory shifts, with the former expanding anti-money laundering measures and .Looking ahead, the market's focus remains on the Fed's December decision. A rate cut could reinforce Bitcoin's role as a high-beta risk asset, while a "hawkish cut" might limit upside potential
. Analysts like Charles Edwards of the Capriole Fund noted that Bitcoin's volatility is tied to shifting rate-cut expectations, . If the Fed delivers a clear dovish pivot, Bitcoin could test $100,000, though structural challenges such as ETF redemptions and regulatory headwinds could temper gains.Quickly understand the history and background of various well-known coins

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