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Bitcoin's price has surged to a new all-time high of $126,219, consolidating around $121,000 after a 4.2% correction. Institutional demand has driven $3.55 billion in weekly inflows into
exchange-traded instruments, pushing total assets under management for listed Bitcoin products to $195.2 billion [1]. Analysts, including Timothy Peterson and Peter Brandt, project Bitcoin could reach $140,000 to $150,000 by year-end 2025, supported by strong derivatives markets and tightening supply on exchanges [1][3].Institutional adoption is accelerating, with corporate entities like OranjeBTC accumulating 3,675 BTC ($445 million) as a treasury reserve. Bitcoin's exchange supply has dropped to a five-year low of 2.38 million BTC, reducing selling pressure and signaling a supply squeeze [1]. Futures open interest remains robust at $72 billion, reflecting sustained market confidence despite recent volatility [1].

The approval of Bitcoin ETFs has transformed market dynamics, with BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) leading inflows.
recorded $3.5 billion in weekly inflows in October 2025, surpassing 800,000 BTC in assets under management-3.8% of Bitcoin's total supply [7]. ETFs have attracted institutional and retail capital, with total inflows exceeding $63 billion since their launch in early 2024. This surge has reduced Bitcoin's volatility and improved liquidity, aligning it with traditional asset classes [6].Derivatives data reinforces a bullish outlook. Bitcoin's two-month futures premium stands at 8% annualized, within the neutral-to-bullish range of 5%-10%. Analysts note that reduced leverage and steady open interest levels minimize the risk of cascading liquidations, even during price dips [1]. Meanwhile,
and Invest have added $130 million in Bitcoin holdings in a single day, signaling growing institutional conviction [10].Despite short-term corrections, fundamentals remain strong. Bitcoin's year-to-date return of 31% outperforms the S&P 500's 14% gain. Exchange reserves have declined 20% in a month, while futures activity and corporate treasury allocations underscore Bitcoin's role as a strategic reserve asset [1].
Projections for 2025 vary. Peterson's statistical models give Bitcoin a 50% chance of closing October above $140,000, while more aggressive forecasts cite $150,000 as a realistic target. Arthur Hayes of BitMEX argues that sustained ETF demand and macroeconomic conditions could push prices higher, with institutional adoption continuing to drive long-term growth [3][7].
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