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Bitcoin trading volume has declined in recent weeks as the crypto market reverses its earlier panic-selling phase, signaling a stabilization in investor sentiment. Institutional and macroeconomic factors appear to be driving this shift, with
ETFs and central bank policy expectations playing pivotal roles. The cryptocurrency's price has rebounded above $90,000, with BlackRock's (IBIT) leading a surge in ETF inflows that totaled $238.4 million in net capital over the past week. This marks a reversal from a three-week streak of outflows and underscores growing confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value proposition.The Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts have
, with markets now pricing in an 85% probability of a 25 basis point reduction in December. This dovish outlook has , which recently fell to a one-week low near 99.45. Weaker dollar dynamics have supported Bitcoin's price recovery, as reduced interest rates typically incentivize investors to shift capital into higher-yielding or alternative assets. Meanwhile, BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF has seen renewed demand from institutional buyers, including Abu Dhabi's sovereign wealth funds, which tripled their holdings in Q3 2025.
Nasdaq's recent move to expand options limits for BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF further
for the asset. By scaling options capacity by 40 times, the exchange has positioned the ETF alongside mega-cap equities like Apple and Microsoft, according to analysts. This development reflects broader market recognition of Bitcoin as a regulated, liquid asset class capable of supporting sophisticated derivatives trading. "The market has already decided Bitcoin is a mega-cap asset," , a Bitcoin analyst, highlighting the transition from speculative trading to institutional-grade infrastructure.State-level adoption is also contributing to Bitcoin's normalization. Texas recently allocated $5 million into BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, signaling growing conviction in its long-term upside
. Such moves by public institutions during market dips are seen as bullish, as they validate Bitcoin's resilience to volatility. However, challenges remain for on-chain scalability and programmability, which projects like Bitcoin Hyper aim to address with SVM-powered Layer 2 solutions .Technical indicators suggest the market is in a consolidation phase, with Bitcoin trading between $84,000 and $89,900. A sustained break above $90,000 could reignite momentum toward $100,000, supported by ETF-driven liquidity and a demographic shift in investor composition. Over 95% of ETF assets are now held by investors aged 55 and older, whose low trading turnover has dampened volatility during corrections.
Looking ahead, the convergence of macroeconomic easing, sovereign buying, and ETF expansion positions Bitcoin for continued strength in 2026. Analysts expect further institutional inflows if the Fed confirms its December rate cut, potentially driving ETF flows back to early-2024 levels.
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