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Altcoin Season Signal Flashes as
Dominance Drops and BottomsThe cryptocurrency market is showing early signs of an altcoin rally as Bitcoin's dominance wanes and
stabilizes near critical support levels. With the Altcoin Season Index at 28—a low indicating Bitcoin's continued grip on inflows—analysts are closely watching technical indicators and institutional dynamics that could spark a shift in market momentum, according to .
Bitcoin's dominance, a key metric for gauging the market's focus on smaller cryptocurrencies, has retreated from recent highs, while Ethereum's price action suggests it may be forming a base for a potential breakout. The ETH/BTC ratio, which hit a five-year support level in late October, is now consolidating, a pattern historically associated with the onset of altcoin seasons, the Coinedition analysis noted. "A full altcoin season will likely begin after
breaks its all-time high," said Andy, co-founder of The Rollup, noting that Ethereum and could lead the next phase of growth once the market stabilizes.Institutional demand is also reshaping the landscape. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for Bitcoin and Ethereum have drawn over $446 million in inflows in the past week alone, with Ethereum ETFs surpassing Bitcoin's in Q3 2025, as
detailed. This trend could extend to altcoins as new ETF applications pile up at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, according to Leon Wideman of Web3 Onchain in . "Altcoin ETFs will open the door to the next wave of institutional buying," he said, emphasizing that regulatory clarity is translating into capital flows.Meanwhile, on-chain activity suggests retail and institutional traders are positioning for volatility. A high-profile crypto whale, tracked by Lookonchain, has amassed $448.8 million in Bitcoin and Ethereum longs, with unrealized profits exceeding $13.4 million, as detailed in
. The trader's aggressive strategy—adding to positions as Bitcoin dips near $114,000—reflects confidence in the asset's resilience. Similarly, Ethereum's funding rates flipped bullish in late October after $764 million in longs were liquidated, signaling renewed optimism, the Coinedition analysis added.Technical indicators offer mixed signals. Ethereum's price has been trapped in a descending parallel channel since its August peak of $4,955, with momentum indicators like the RSI and MACD pointing to bearish pressure, according to
. However, a triple bottom pattern near $3,800 and the ETH/BTC pair's hold on key support levels have traders debating whether this is a prelude to a rebound or a deeper correction. "The current dip is mid-cycle and temporary," said CryptoQuant in a recent analysis, noting that altcoins historically rally after such pauses, as reported in .Market fragmentation is also evident, with gains concentrated in tokens tied to tangible catalysts. MemeCore (M) and Aerodrome Finance (AERO) have attracted retail interest, while
Gold (XAUT) has mirrored bullion's rally amid easing U.S.-China trade tensions, according to . These pockets of activity highlight a shift toward utility-driven assets, with Andy describing the current cycle as "institutional," favoring projects with real-world use cases like , Maker, and Synthetix.Looking ahead, shorter and more compressed market cycles are expected. Andy predicts Bitcoin could target $150,000 before a 2026 correction resets the market, with altcoins facing higher risks during downturns. For now, the interplay between Bitcoin's dominance, Ethereum's technical setup, and institutional adoption will likely determine whether this signals a robust altcoin season—or a prolonged consolidation phase.
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