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Bitcoin's stability appears to be holding firm amid recent market turbulence, with macroeconomic analyst Lyn Alden dismissing fears of a major crash. The cryptocurrency has seen sharp price swings, dipping to $86,000 in late November, but analysts argue the broader macroeconomic environment and institutional adoption trends are mitigating the risk of a deep capitulation
.The recent pullback coincided with mixed signals from the

Institutional adoption is also reshaping the crypto landscape. Circle's
stablecoin has overtaken Tether's in onchain activity, driven by regulatory compliance and institutional demand. USDC's market capitalization has jumped 72% this year to $74 billion, outpacing USDT's 32% growth. Meanwhile, has secured $1 billion in institutional funding and launched its first public liquid staking strategy, signaling growing confidence in its infrastructure. These developments assets as global regulatory frameworks like Europe's MiCA take effect .Lyn Alden, a prominent macro voice in crypto, argues that Bitcoin's current environment lacks the "euphoric" conditions that typically precede major crashes. She attributes this to waning influence of the traditional four-year cycle, which she says is being reshaped by institutional demand and macroeconomic forces. "The cycle could extend longer than expected because it's not driven by the halving but by broader macro and interest in the asset itself," Alden noted in a recent interview. She forecasts Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 by 2026, with potential new highs either that year or in 2027
.However, not all analysts share this optimism. Vineet Budki of Sigma Capital predicts a 65–70% retracement for Bitcoin over the next two years. Alden, though, cautions that market outcomes rarely match extreme expectations. "It's usually not as good as people expect and it's usually not as bad as people expect," she said, emphasizing that investors should avoid assuming guaranteed bull markets
.Factors contributing to Bitcoin's stagnation include tighter liquidity, heightened interest in AI-driven assets, and gold's strong performance siphoning capital from crypto.
, early optimism about nation-states building Bitcoin reserves has waned, reducing speculative momentum. Despite these headwinds, Alden sees a bottoming phase for liquidity and expects Bitcoin to stabilize as macroeconomic conditions clarify.The market remains in a wait-and-see mode, with institutional moves and regulatory shifts likely to play pivotal roles in shaping Bitcoin's next phase.
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