Veteran trader Peter Brandt has become a central figure in the cryptocurrency market's latest debate, forecasting a potential surge in
(BTC) to $185,000 by the end of 2025. Brandt's analysis hinges on Bitcoin's historical four-year halving cycles, which he argues align with a symmetrical pattern of price discovery. According to his calculations, Bitcoin's current cycle low on Nov. 9, 2022, and the April 2024 halving event create a 533-day timeline that points to a peak near Oct. 5, 2025-just days before Bitcoin hit a new all-time high above $126,100. "Bingo, it is this week," Brandt noted, emphasizing the eerie precision of the timing.
Brandt's bullish outlook reignites a broader debate over whether Bitcoin's four-year cycle remains relevant amid growing institutional adoption. While some analysts, including Rekt Capital, argue the pattern holds-predicting a peak in October 2025 if history repeats-others suggest macroeconomic factors like spot ETF inflows and corporate treasury strategies are distorting traditional cycles. Gemini's APAC head, Saad Ahmed, acknowledged that human behavior still drives cycles, stating, "It ultimately stems from people getting excited and overextending themselves." Meanwhile, economist Timothy Peterson estimated a 50% chance Bitcoin will exceed $140,000 by October, based on decade-long simulations.
However, the market faces immediate headwinds. Trump's 100% tariff on Chinese imports triggered a historic selloff in October 2025, with Bitcoin dropping to $104,782 in hours. Over $16 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated, and more than 1.6 million traders were affected. Forbes analysis noted that while the crash was initially viewed as a purge of excess leverage, the event exposed vulnerabilities in crypto's liquidity structure. "The market absorbed record liquidations without systemic failure," the report concluded, but volatility remains elevated.
Brandt's predictions also extend to altcoins. In a recent X post, he flipped bullish on
and , arguing that their recent pullbacks were "minor reactions" in broader uptrends. XRP, which fell to $2.20 during the October crash, is now trading near $2.85, with Brandt eyeing a potential rebound to $3.00. Similarly, XLM's chart suggests a "bull waking from a nap," with targets near $0.60 if the pattern holds. These moves reflect broader optimism in the altcoin space, though technical indicators like RSI and MACD remain cautious.The debate over Bitcoin's future is further complicated by conflicting macro narratives. Arthur Hayes of BitMEX and Joe Burnett of Unchained Capital project BTC at $250,000 by year-end, driven by "debasement trade" dynamics and institutional inflows. Conversely, 10x Research's Markus Theilin warned that overreliance on macro trends without strong fundamentals could lead to disappointment. "Macro factors can set the direction, but the ship won't stay on course without enough wind," he argued, highlighting the need for catalysts like the U.S. presidential election.
As the market navigates these uncertainties, the October 2025 crash serves as a cautionary tale. While Bitcoin's long-term trajectory remains upward, short-term volatility is inevitable. "Investors should stay informed, diversify, and focus on long-term fundamentals," advised CCN's analysis, noting that the halving event and potential Fed rate cuts could provide tailwinds. For now, the crypto market watches closely as cycles, geopolitics, and institutional adoption converge in real time.
Source: [1] This is the Full Title of the First News Article (https://ecoinimist.com/2025/10/09/market-veteran-major-bitcoin-surge/)
[2] This is the Full Title of the Second News Article (https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-bull-market-cycle-high-prediction-peter-brandt-trader)
[3] Full Title of the Third Source Used (https://cryptonews.com/news/trader-peter-brant-predicts-135k-bitcoin-in-2025-but-short-term-challenges-loom/)
[4] Full Title of the Fourth Source Used (https://coingape.com/peter-brandt-flips-bullish-on-bitcoin-ethereum-xrp-and-xlm/)
[5] Full Title of the Fifth Source Used (https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2025/10/11/did-trumps-tariff-trigger-a-crypto-purge-or-just-a-panic/)
[6] Full Title of the Sixth Source Used (https://www.ccn.com/education/crypto/us-tariff-policy-impact-on-crypto-markets-explained/)
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