Bitcoin News Today: Goldman Warns: Hedging Frenzy Could Deepen Tech-Crypto Market Crash

Generated by AI AgentCoin WorldReviewed byDavid Feng
Thursday, Nov 20, 2025 11:05 pm ET1min read
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Aime RobotAime Summary

- Goldman SachsGS-- warns "extreme hedging" in tech/crypto is fueling market panic, as investors use CDS to protect against AI sector debt risks.

- Saba Capital's CDS sales on Oracle/Microsoft/Meta mirror broader risk-off sentiment, with Bitcoin's $90k drop amplifying leveraged investor losses.

- US BitcoinBTC-- ETFs saw $75.4m inflow after 5-day outflow streak, but fragile recovery contrasts with mid-cycle holders driving crypto selloff.

- GoldmanGS-- raises Halozyme's target to $56 but cuts Vertex to $28, highlighting sector-specific bets amid macroeconomic uncertainty and hedging frenzy.

- Analysts warn self-reinforcing momentum in crypto/tech markets could deepen downturn, with Bitcoin serving as key sentiment barometer.

Goldman Sachs has issued a stark warning that a surge in "extreme hedging" activities is fueling panic behind the recent plunge in U.S. stock markets, as investors scramble to protect positions in volatile tech and crypto assets. The bank's concerns are underscored by a growing trend among hedge funds and asset managers to offload risk through credit derivatives and other instruments, particularly in the artificial intelligence sector, where debt-fueled innovation has sparked fears of a potential bubble.

The warning comes as Boaz Weinstein's Saba Capital Management has sold credit default swaps (CDS) on major tech firms such as Oracle, Microsoft, and Meta, according to a source familiar with the transactions. These derivatives, which act as insurance against default, have surged in value as investors hedge against the rising debt burdens of AI-driven companies. Saba's moves mirror broader market sentiment, with Goldman Sachs noting increased demand for hedging tools from clients seeking to mitigate exposure to overleveraged tech stocks. Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid has also highlighted the trend, describing the CDS activity as a "general hedge for all sorts of positive AI positions" https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/exclusiveweinsteins-saba-sells-credit-derivatives-on-big-techas-ai-risks-grow-source-says-4363045.

The ripple effects of this hedging frenzy are evident in global markets, where a crypto-driven selloff has amplified broader equity declines. Bitcoin's drop below $90,000 earlier this week exacerbated fears of a feedback loop, as leveraged investors faced margin calls and asset reallocations. U.S. spot BitcoinBTC-- ETFs, which had seen a five-day outflow streak, briefly rebounded on Wednesday with $75.4 million in inflows, though the recovery remains fragile https://cointelegraph.com/news/us-bitcoin-etfs-break-outflow-streak-as-btc-reclaims-92k. Meanwhile, VanEck's analysis indicates that mid-cycle holders - rather than long-term whales - are driving the recent selloff, with futures markets signaling deeply oversold conditions https://www.vaneck.com/us/en/blogs/digital-assets/matthew-sigel-vaneck-mid-november-2025-bitcoin-chaincheck/.

Goldman Sachs' caution extends beyond tech. The bank has simultaneously raised its price target for Halozyme Therapeutics to $56, citing a $3 billion peak sales potential from a new subcutaneous formulation of petosemtamab developed with Merus. Yet this optimism contrasts with its bearish stance on Vertex, where it cut its price target to $28 despite reiterating a "Buy" rating, citing short-term headwinds like customer bankruptcies. The mixed signals highlight the firm's balancing act between sector-specific opportunities and macroeconomic risks.

The interplay of hedging, debt accumulation, and speculative fervor has left markets in a precarious position. As one analyst noted, "Momentum is a self-feeding machine," with Bitcoin's performance serving as a barometer for broader sentiment. Whether this "extreme hedging" will stabilize markets or accelerate a downturn remains uncertain, but Goldman Sachs' warning underscores the fragility of the current landscape.

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