Bitcoin News Today: Fed's Policy Tone to Shape Bitcoin's Next Move as Markets Await Outcome

The Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision has become a focal point for global markets, with particular attention on its potential impact on Bitcoin. While prediction markets such as Polymarket assign a near-certainty—98%—of no rate adjustment [1], market participants are closely monitoring any shifts in the Fed’s tone that could signal a pivot in policy [1]. Recent remarks from Donald Trump, who suggested a willingness from Chair Jerome Powell to consider rate cuts, have further fueled speculation about a potential policy easing [1].

Bitcoin, currently trading near $118,400, has seen limited movement over the past 24 hours, maintaining a delicate equilibrium [1]. However, analysts caution that this stability could quickly unravel depending on how the Fed signals its stance. Persistent inflation and strong labor market data may compel the central bank to adopt a more hawkish tone, despite growing calls for easing from political and market forces [1].

OANDA’s senior analyst Edward Moya highlighted the sensitivity of the crypto market to interest rate expectations, stating that a dovish Fed could reinvigorate bullish momentum in cryptocurrencies, while a surprise rate hike or extended tightening could intensify downward pressure on risk assets [1]. This aligns with historical trends showing that rising interest rates tend to divert capital away from speculative assets like Bitcoin and toward safer investments such as government bonds [1].

With market sentiment hanging in the balance, the Fed’s official statement is expected to serve as a pivotal catalyst, not only for crypto but also for broader risk-on assets. The outcome will likely shape near-term market dynamics and investor behavior across multiple asset classes [1].

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[1] [Crypto News Live: Fed Decision Today Could Shake the Market – What Does it Mean for Bitcoin?](https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/688a3945992943384be559e2/)