Bitcoin News Today: Deutsche Bank's Gold Pivot: Hedging Bets on Dollar Turbulence and Crypto Shifts

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Monday, Nov 24, 2025 7:33 am ET1min read
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- Deutsche BankDB-- re-enters gold861123-- trading to hedge market volatility, boosting trading assets via increased precious metals861124-- inventories.

- Analysts highlight Carvana's logistics efficiency as a competitive edge, assigning a $395 price target despite cutting Asia-Pacific private credit teams.

- Strategic reallocation focuses on mature European markets, contrasting with Asia's regulatory challenges and illiquidity in private credit.

- Macro risks include potential BitcoinBTC-- ETF outflows and MSCI's cryptoBTC-- reclassification, signaling growing ties between traditional finance and crypto.

- Dollar pressure concerns emerge through gold pivots and global private credit struggles, though no explicit 6% 2026 decline forecast is stated.

Deutsche Bank AG is navigating a complex financial landscape, with its strategic moves in precious metals, private credit, and market analysis offering insights into broader economic trends. The bank's recent expansion into gold trading, a sector it exited in 2014 amid regulatory pressures, signals a renewed focus on commodities as a hedge against market volatility. According to the lender's latest quarterly results, increased precious metals inventories have bolstered its trading assets, driven by strong demand from clients. This shift aligns with broader investor sentiment, as Bitcoin ETFs face their worst outflows since inception, with $3.5 billion withdrawn in November alone, underscoring a cautious market environment.

The bank's analytical arm has also turned its attention to emerging market leaders like Carvana Co., an online used car retailer. Deutsche BankDB-- analysts highlighted Carvana's vertically integrated model as a key competitive advantage, enabling the company to optimize logistics, reconditioning, and technology to deliver faster delivery times and pricing efficiency. The firm's Buy rating and $395 price target reflect confidence in Carvana's ability to scale profitably, a stance that contrasts with its recent decision to cut Asia-Pacific private credit teams. DWS Group has scaled back its Asia private credit operations, citing structural challenges such as regulatory opacity and illiquidity in the region. This strategic reallocation underscores the bank's focus on more mature markets, particularly in Europe, where its private credit strategies are more established.

Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank's market analysis has drawn attention to macroeconomic risks. The bank's research division flagged potential forced outflows for MicroStrategy Inc. (formerly Strategy), which holds a significant BitcoinBTC-- portfolio, if MSCI Inc. reclassifies digital asset treasury companies in early 2026 according to financial analysts. Such developments highlight the growing entanglement between traditional financial institutions and the crypto sector, a dynamic that has recently escalated tensions. JPMorgan Chase faces a crypto backlash after closing accounts linked to Bitcoin advocates and issuing cautionary notes on digital asset-linked companies, sparking calls for a boycott.

The interplay between Deutsche Bank's strategic shifts and broader market dynamics raises questions about the U.S. dollar's trajectory. While the bank has not explicitly forecasted a 6% decline in the dollar by 2026, its focus on gold trading and alternative assets-often viewed as dollar hedges-suggests a recognition of potential currency pressures. Additionally, the global private credit market's struggles, including rising default risks and slowed deal flow in Asia, may exacerbate capital outflows, further testing the dollar's resilience as reported by Bloomberg.

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