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Bitcoin News Today: Crypto Traders Shift to Defense Mode as Structural Risks Ignite Liquidity Fears
Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Monday, Oct 13, 2025 12:59 am ET2min read
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Aime SummaryFollowing the historic $20 billion liquidation event dubbed "Black Friday," crypto traders are recalibrating positions amid heightened volatility and structural risks. The crash, triggered by President Trump's 100% tariff announcement on Chinese imports, saw
plummet 17% in hours and drop over 11%, sparking widespread forced selling and liquidity crunches [1]. Traders are now shifting from bullish exposure to downside protection, with options data revealing heavy demand for Bitcoin puts at $115,000 and $95,000 strike prices and Ethereum puts at $4,000 and $3,600 [1].Market Response and Positioning
Options market activity underscores the defensive shift. Over $14.6 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expired on Deribit, with BTC options skewed toward puts, reflecting a 0.88 put-to-call ratio. Open interest (OI) was concentrated in puts between $108,000 and $112,000, near Bitcoin's $110,000 trading level, while calls clustered at higher strikes like $120,000 [2]. For Ethereum, OI was more balanced, with significant activity in calls at $3,800 and $5,000 and puts at $3,700 [2]. Deribit analysts noted that BTC's positioning indicates "persistent demand for downside protection," while ETH's remains "neutral" [4].
Volatility surged across all maturities, with implied volatility for one-week Bitcoin options jumping to nearly 80% annualized [1]. Sean Dawson of Derive described the crash as a "classic cascade effect," where liquidity vanished, exacerbating forced sales and triggering further liquidations [1]. Marco Lim of Solowin Holdings highlighted structural risks, including fragility in wrapped Ethereum (wBETH) and Binance's liquidity dominance, warning that a 10% Bitcoin move could stress stablecoin flows [1].
Post-Crash Dynamics and Outlook
Bitcoin rebounded 4.4% in 24 hours, with
surging 42%, but experts caution against premature optimism. Dawson called the recovery a "recalibration," noting that volatility remains elevated and macro risks-such as trade tensions and Fed policy-have not subsided [1]. Short-term bearishness persists, though data shows increased demand for 30+ day calls, suggesting some traders anticipate a later-quarter recovery [1].The $14.6 billion options expiry on August 26 further amplified uncertainty. Deribit analysts highlighted that Bitcoin's "max pain" level-where options lose the most value-now stands at $116,000, while Ethereum's is $3,800 [2]. Historical patterns suggest prices may gravitate toward these levels pre-expiry, though the theory's validity remains debated.
Glassnode analysts observed that Bitcoin's short-term holder cost basis remains above current prices, signaling ongoing bullish momentum but also near-term risk. A break below key support levels at $118,000 for Bitcoin and $4,400 for Ethereum could trigger deeper corrections [3]. Meanwhile, Binance's insurance fund deployed $188 million to manage risks during the crash, underscoring the scale of market turbulence [12].
Structural Risks and Institutional Caution
Experts remain wary of systemic vulnerabilities. Lim emphasized that Binance's dominance in stablecoin flows creates a "single point of failure," with a sharp correction risking a cascading unwind [1]. Similarly, Binance's recent compensation announcement for
and depegging incidents highlights fragility in wrapped token markets [11].Despite the turmoil, some see opportunity. Bitunix Research outlined three scenarios: a short-term rebound if Bitcoin holds above $108,000; a deeper correction below $104,000; or continued range trading between $109,000 and $116,000 [6]. Institutional flows, including BlackRock's accumulation of 21,180 BTC during the crash, suggest long-term holders remain active [13].
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