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The crypto market remains in a bearish consolidation phase as
(BTC) struggles to reclaim key support levels, with analysts highlighting structural weaknesses in short-term momentum. During the week of Nov. 24, dipped to the $79,000 range-its lowest since early 2025-amid sustained selling pressure and a lack of clear bullish catalysts. StoneX and Tradingview data show most major cryptocurrencies maintaining a strong positive correlation with Bitcoin (coefficients above 0.8), reinforcing the dominance of the leading asset's downward trend. However, (LTC) has partially decoupled, with a correlation of 0.536, but no reversal in the broader bearish narrative.Geopolitical and institutional developments have added complexity to the market. Texas, for instance, has taken a significant step toward building a state-backed Bitcoin reserve by purchasing $5 million in BlackRock's
(IBIT) and planning a second $5 million direct acquisition. This move underscores shifting government sentiment toward digital assets, . Meanwhile, BlackRock's has seen recent profit-taking, with $66 million in redemptions over two days despite BTC's rebound to $87,600. rather than abandonment, as capital rotates between ETFs like Fidelity's FBTC.Regulatory fragmentation remains a critical challenge in the U.S., where Bitcoin is simultaneously classified as a security, commodity, and property by different agencies. The SEC's enforcement-driven approach, including the landmark $4.5 billion
case, has created legal uncertainty, while the CFTC's oversight of Bitcoin derivatives lacks authority over unregulated spot markets. At the state level,
Ethereum (ETH) faces its own technical test as the network prepares for the Fusaka upgrade on Dec. 3, which aims to enhance data availability and scalability. Currently, ETH hovers near $3,100, testing resistance against the 20-day EMA. On-chain metrics remain mixed,
but no clear breakout.Amid these dynamics, privacy concerns persist. Houdini Pay has introduced a crypto payment tool designed to obscure transaction details, addressing risks like client price manipulation and physical threats from visible wallet balances. Meanwhile, the
community is finalizing a plan to distribute $8 million in recovered funds from a $116 million hack, .The market's immediate outlook hinges on regulatory clarity and sustained institutional confidence. While short-term volatility remains likely, the absence of a coordinated policy framework and continued ETF profit-taking suggest a cautious stance for now.
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