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Bitcoin's price has surged to near $115,000 as spot investors continue to defy market volatility, according to recent market data. On September 4, 2025, the price stood at $110,723.60 with a market capitalization of $2.2 trillion, reflecting a 11.18 billion percent increase from its 2009 inception at $0.00099 [1]. Over the past 60 days,
has experienced significant fluctuations, peaking at $123,026 on August 13, 2025, and reaching a 60-day high of $123,026 [3].The recent upward momentum has been fueled by geopolitical developments and macroeconomic expectations. Analysts attribute the surge to U.S. President Donald Trump's signals of potential trade deal negotiations with China, which alleviated fears of a trade war escalation [2]. Additionally, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have bolstered investor sentiment, as lower rates historically benefit Bitcoin and the broader crypto market [2].

Institutional demand has also played a pivotal role. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $2.2 billion in inflows during the week of October 8, 2025, according to Glassnode. These inflows reversed earlier September outflows and contributed to Bitcoin's consolidation above $120,000 . Mid-tier investors, holding between 10 and 1,000 BTC, have been the primary accumulators, offsetting profit-taking by larger whales .
However, the market faces heightened risks. Glassnode highlights a "leverage reset," with over $1.74 billion in liquidations recorded in four days, primarily affecting short positions. The Bitcoin futures-to-spot volume ratio has fallen to its lowest level in 2025, raising concerns about potential forced liquidations and increased volatility . Technical analysts warn of a "dead cat bounce," a temporary rebound in a downtrend, and a rising wedge pattern that could trigger a bearish breakout [2].
Despite these risks, the bull market remains intact. Bitcoin's 200-day moving average ($106,800) and on-chain profitability (97% of circulating supply in profit) suggest resilience. Glassnode notes that realized profits are controlled compared to prior tops, indicating strategic rotation rather than panic selling .
Looking ahead, the market awaits key macroeconomic data, including U.S. CPI reports and Federal Reserve statements, to determine Bitcoin's trajectory. While short-term volatility persists, long-term holders and institutional inflows signal a structurally strong market.
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