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Bitcoin’s recent decline below $115,000 triggered approximately $130 million in long-position liquidations across exchanges, according to on-chain data [3]. Despite the volatility, a significant whale executed a $23.7 million bullish bet using a bull call spread strategy, targeting a year-end price of $200,000. The trade involved purchasing low-volatility December $140,000 call options while funding them with higher-volatility $200,000 calls, reflecting a calculated expectation of upward momentum [3]. This move, described as “dominating the options landscape” by Deribit Insights, underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s potential to break all-time highs [3].
Technical analysts emphasize that $115,000 remains a critical support level. A sustained break below this threshold could test $113,500 or $110,530, according to analyst Daan Crypto Trades [3]. However, liquidity replenishment in lower price zones suggests buyers are prepared to absorb downward pressure, framing the correction as a “rotation-led adjustment” rather than a trend reversal [3]. Swissblock, a digital asset manager, noted the
risk index currently at zero, signaling no overheating and a favorable environment for long-term investors [3].The whale’s activity aligns with broader market dynamics. A dormant Satoshi-era whale recently moved $9.6 billion in BTC, introducing short-term volatility but not undermining the bullish framework [3]. On-chain metrics indicate that large-scale movements often precede temporary price adjustments rather than sustained downtrends. Meanwhile, a TradingView analysis identified a potential bullish flag pattern near $115,000–$118,000, suggesting further gains if the price breaks above $120,000 [2].
pattern analysts caution that a breakdown below $115,000 could delay a rebound but highlight that buyers historically intervene near $110,530 to stabilize the market [3].Market participants remain divided on the timeline for Bitcoin’s recovery. While the $200,000 target by year-end reflects aggressive optimism, liquidity replenishment at lower levels may prolong consolidation. Analysts recommend monitoring order book depth and derivative open interest for signals of the next major price inflection [3]. The whale’s bullish positioning, coupled with strong on-chain fundamentals, reinforces the view that Bitcoin’s structural uptrend remains intact, driven by macroeconomic factors and sustained demand [3].
Strategic considerations for investors include prioritizing risk management and leveraging on-chain analytics to navigate short-term fluctuations. The interplay between corrections and long-term growth potential presents opportunities for disciplined traders. As Bitcoin approaches key resistance and support zones, maintaining vigilance on market sentiment and whale activity will be crucial for capitalizing on its evolving trajectory [3].
Sources:
[1] [Bitcoin Grabs $115K Liquidity as Whale Bets on $200K BTC Price by Year-End] [https://cryptostudent.io/bitcoin/];
[2] [Technical Patterns Suggesting Continuation] [https://in.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD.P/ideas/?exchange=DELTAIN];
[3] [Bitcoin Grabs $115K Liquidity as Whale Bets on $200K BTC Price by Year-End] [https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-grabs-115k-liquidity-whale-bets-200k-btc-price-by-year-end].

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