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Bitcoin's recent volatility has intensified as traders grapple with a market flush of leveraged positions, with liquidations wiping $600 million in bullish and bearish bets over 24 hours. The sharp price swings between $107,000 and $113,000 have left both sides of the market exposed, with longs accounting for $355 million in closures and shorts losing $301 million, according to a
. This turbulence underscores the fragility of sentiment as struggles to maintain gains above its 200-day moving average.Derivatives markets reflect a cautious reset, with Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility easing to 45% from 52% on Oct. 10, signaling reduced anxiety compared to prior spikes, according to
. Options data from Deribit shows the seven-day volatility risk premium flipping negative—a sign of renewed calm—and positive gamma buildup from $112K to $120K, which could stabilize price swings in that range. However, the dominance of puts over calls across all tenors persists, highlighting lingering downside fears.
Meanwhile, Ethereum-based layer-2 network MegaETH has drawn record attention, with its token sale attracting $360 million in commitments at a hypothetical $7.2 billion valuation, despite an official cap of $50 million, according to a
. The oversubscription, driven by 819 addresses committing the maximum $186,282 in USDT each, has raised questions about speculative fervor versus long-term conviction. Analysts warn that synchronized buying can amplify risks of sharp reversals, particularly given the project's lofty promises of 100,000+ transactions per second, as noted in .Bitcoin's dominance has climbed to 59% as altcoins face a liquidity crunch. The CoinDesk 80 Index fell 4.5% in 24 hours, with tokens like
and shedding over 50% of their value since July. This "bitcoin season" reflects a flight to safety, as investors avoid speculative bets amid thin order books and cascading liquidations, according to the CoinDesk piece.The market's fragility was further highlighted by Binance's recent Piggycell (PIGGY) airdrop, which required 250 Alpha Points for eligibility, as reported in
, and Changpeng Zhao's confirmation that YZi Labs holds a minority stake in decentralized prediction market Opinion, discussed in . These moves signal ongoing institutional interest in crypto infrastructure, though retail demand remains muted.Bitcoin's path forward depends on its ability to reclaim key support levels. Kraken's Alexia Theodorou noted that the long/short ratio on Bitcoin perpetuals has stabilized after hitting a low on Oct. 6, suggesting a tentative balance between bulls and bears. Yet, FxPro's Alex Kuptsikevich cautions that the recent pullback below $113,000 signals a short-term downtrend, with the 200-day moving average at $108K posing a critical test, as the Yahoo Finance report noted.
As MegaETH's token generation event looms in early 2026, the crypto market braces for further volatility. The interplay between leveraged positions, altcoin weakness, and speculative inflows into layer-2 projects will shape Bitcoin's trajectory in the coming months.
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