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Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is projected to reach a market peak in October 2025, aligning with historical trends. This cycle, which has been consistent since 2013, suggests that
typically peaks 47 weeks after its last cycle high. Analysts are anticipating another parabolic move that could push prices above $160,000 before the peak.Historical data shows that Bitcoin has followed a sequence of pullback, consolidation, and two sharp impulse waves in past cycles. This pattern is visible in the current market structure, with a pullback into late 2022, recovery in early 2023, and a strong uptrend through 2024. The latest breakout has taken the price near $120,000, indicating a strong upward momentum.
Market activity signals strength before the next peak. Derivatives volume surged 78.76% to $88.29 billion, and options volume rose 205.10%, showing increasing interest in leveraged trading. Open interest also increased slightly, reaching $86.15 billion. Top traders are leaning long, with Binance’s long/short ratio hitting 1.6071 based on positions, indicating strong buying interest among high-volume accounts.
According to analysts, the current price structure mirrors the previous cycle and supports the idea of another upward move. Based on past performance, analysts anticipate a surge beyond $160,000 before Bitcoin reaches its cycle top in Q4 2025. This projection is based on the consistent four-year cycle that Bitcoin has followed since 2013, with each major high occurring 47 weeks after the previous cycle top.

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