Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin 'Tick Tock' Model Points to $150K Price Top in October 2025

Bitcoin may be approaching a potential peak of $150,000 by October 2025, according to a recurring “tick tock” fractal observed by analyst CryptoBullet, which tracks Bitcoin’s historical behavior post-halving events [1]. The most recent halving took place on April 15, 2024, and based on a pattern of 518 to 546 days following such events, the next potential top is expected in approximately 77 days—pointing to late October 2025 as a likely time frame for a significant price high [1].

This model draws from Bitcoin’s past performance, where major tops historically occurred within a similar window after previous halvings. If the pattern repeats, October could mark a new high-water mark for the cryptocurrency [1]. However, it is important to clarify that this remains a predictive model and not a guaranteed outcome. Market dynamics can shift rapidly, and external factors such as regulatory actions or broader economic conditions could alter Bitcoin’s trajectory [1].

On-chain data from CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. supports the idea that the market remains in a structurally healthy phase, with new investor activity still relatively moderate compared to earlier peaks. As of late July, new buyers—represented by the purchase of “young coins”—accounted for about 30% of overall market activity, well below the 64% and 72% levels seen in March and December 2024, which were followed by local price tops [1]. This suggests the market has not yet entered a phase of extreme euphoria and that further upside remains possible.

Long-term holders have also not shown signs of panic selling, with outflows from older wallets remaining moderate. Adler Jr. notes that the balance between new and old investors remains stable, partly due to continued institutional accumulation. ETFs and corporate buyers are absorbing selling pressure, helping maintain the structural integrity of the bull cycle as it nears what could be its final phase [1].

While the fractal model and on-chain metrics point to a possible $150,000 peak by October, it is crucial to recognize that this is a forecast and not an investment recommendation. The market remains subject to unpredictable forces, and investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence before making trading decisions [1].

Source: [1] Bitcoin 'tick tock' fractal predicts $150K BTC price top in October (https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-tick-tock-fractal-predicts-150k-btc-price-top-october)