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Bitcoin’s price is showing renewed signs of upward momentum following a period of consolidation within a defined range, with technical indicators suggesting a potential breakout could trigger a fresh rally. The cryptocurrency recently surged past key resistance levels, including the $118,500 threshold, and is now consolidating above the $118,800 level. This development has reignited speculation about a possible push toward $120,500, a critical resistance zone that, if breached, could pave the way for further gains toward $122,500 and $123,200 [1].
The price action aligns with a classic bullish continuation pattern, as
has retraced to the upper boundary of a consolidation range that began after the asset reached a peak of $91,000 in March [2]. Analysts note that the recent break above a bearish trend line on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair—specifically at $118,300—signals a shift in momentum. The price is now trading above the 100-hourly simple moving average and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its move from $114,733 to $119,795 [1]. These technical factors suggest that short-term bearish pressure has subsided, with buyers stepping in to defend key support levels.A critical juncture for Bitcoin now lies in its ability to clear the $120,500 resistance zone. A sustained close above this level could validate the bullish case, potentially propelling the price toward $122,500 and beyond. However, failure to break above this threshold could result in a pullback toward immediate support at $118,600, with further declines potentially testing $117,250 or the 50% Fibonacci level of $117,800 [1]. The risk of a false breakout remains, as volatile markets often see temporary surges followed by reversals.
Technical indicators reinforce the cautious optimism among traders. The hourly MACD is gaining traction in the bullish zone, while the RSI for BTC/USD has climbed above the 50 level, reflecting strengthening buyer sentiment [1]. These metrics, combined with the consolidation pattern, suggest a strategic buildup of long positions rather than panic-driven trading. The relatively muted volume during the recent pullback to $114,700 in early July further supports the idea that bearish pressure has diminished [3].
The broader market context also plays a role. Unlike previous periods of consolidation, which coincided with macroeconomic uncertainty or regulatory pressures, the current range-bound phase appears to stem from strategic positioning. Traders are advised to await confirmation of a breakout through sustained volume and price action above $120,500 before committing to long positions [3]. While the historical tendency for Bitcoin to follow bullish continuation patterns increases the likelihood of a rally, participants must remain vigilant against unexpected external shocks, such as regulatory announcements or shifts in global economic conditions.
Source: [1] [Bitcoin Price Gears Up for 120k] [https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/btc/bitcoin-price-gears-up-120k/] [2] [Here's Why the Bitcoin Price Is Stuck Despite 'Massive'] [https://www.aol.com/why-bitcoin-price-stuck-despite-173409609.html] [3] [Calls, Breakouts, and Bullish Bets: Inside Crypto's Hot] [https://medium.com/@powertrade_options/calls-breakouts-and-bullish-bets-inside-cryptos-hot-streak-july-25-2025-f52b12c60708]

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