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Bitcoin’s recent price trajectory has drawn intense scrutiny as it navigates critical support levels amid mixed signals from technical indicators and institutional dynamics. The cryptocurrency has surged approximately 13% over the past month, currently trading at $118,090, but faces a pivotal test at the $108,000 level, a threshold that analysts warn could determine the continuation of its uptrend. DonAlt, a prominent cryptocurrency analyst, has highlighted the fragility of this rally, noting that a breakdown below $108,000 could trigger a 9% decline, signaling structural weaknesses in the market [1]. This caution is compounded by the emergence of a “rising wedge” pattern—a bearish consolidation structure—between $110,000 and $119,500, which has raised concerns about a potential collapse below the $100,000 threshold [2].
Institutional demand remains a double-edged sword. While current treasury purchases have provided some stability, a slowdown or halt in corporate
acquisitions could introduce significant selling pressure. DonAlt emphasized that such a scenario would likely end the uptrend and force a sharp price correction [3]. On-chain data further underscores this vulnerability, showing concentrated liquidity in the $110,000–$119,500 range. A failure to sustain buying activity here could lead to a breakdown below $115,600, potentially testing the $110,000–$112,000 accumulation zone [4].The market’s broader dynamics are complicated by the divergence between Bitcoin and altcoins. While Bitcoin lingers in a sideways pattern, altcoins have surged, driven by record leverage in sectors like AI tokens, DeFi, and meme coins. Open interest in altcoins such as
and has reached $45 billion, reflecting aggressive speculative positioning [5]. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe has noted that Bitcoin’s indecision has ceded momentum to altcoins, raising systemic liquidity risks as traders shift capital away from the flagship asset [6]. Regulatory developments under the Trump administration, which have provided clearer guidelines for crypto assets, have further fueled altcoin optimism, though Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics remain mixed.Bitcoin’s near-term outlook hinges on its ability to break out of its consolidation range. A sustained move above $119,500 could reignite bullish momentum, while a drop below $115,600 risks reigniting bearish sentiment. The $117,000 level, currently holding firm, remains a critical psychological barrier. Traders are closely monitoring volume and liquidity shifts for clues, as institutional activity and macroeconomic factors will likely dictate the asset’s trajectory [7].
Source:
[1] [Bitcoin’s Surging Price Faces Critical Support Test](https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/68835a4b2fb07463b9e437e3/)
[2] [Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Faces Renewed Bearish Pressure](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-faces-renewed-bearish-pressure-analyst-warns-100k-collapse-rising-wedge-pattern-2507/)
[3] [Bitcoin Holds Key $117K Support](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-holds-key-117k-support-risk-sharp-decline-breakdown-occurs-2507/)
[4] [ChatGPT's BTC Analysis Flags $120K Test](https://cryptonews.com/news/chatgpts-42-indicator-btc-analysis-flags-critical-120k-test-amid-altseason-uncertainty-and-treasury-surge/)
[5] [Altcoins Surge as On-Chain Data Shows Bitcoin Is Stuck](https://coinedition.com/for-the-first-time-in-two-years-more-money-is-trading-ethereum-than-bitcoin/)
[6] [Bitcoin Stalls Below Resistance](https://coinedition.com/for-the-first-time-in-two-years-more-money-is-trading-ethereum-than-bitcoin/)
[7] [Altcoins Outpace Bitcoin](https://coinedition.com/for-the-first-time-in-two-years-more-money-is-trading-ethereum-than-bitcoin/)

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