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Bitcoin’s Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), a key metric tracking the availability of stablecoins relative to Bitcoin, has reached multi-month highs, raising concerns about potential liquidity constraints for the cryptocurrency’s price action. Despite Bitcoin (BTC) trading near $119,000, the rising SSR suggests that stablecoin reserves—used to purchase BTC—are dwindling, which could hinder further price appreciation unless fresh capital enters the market [1]. This dynamic highlights a critical tension between bullish momentum and underlying liquidity pressures in the $119K price range [2].
Technical indicators show Bitcoin maintaining support above $116,000, with ascending trendlines and tools like the MACD and Parabolic SAR signaling mild bullish momentum [3]. However, the $116.8K–$114.8K zone has emerged as a pivotal support buffer. A decisive close below this threshold could invalidate the uptrend, triggering deeper declines and increased selling pressure [4]. The proximity to this level underscores the fragility of Bitcoin’s current trajectory.
The MVRV Z-score, a measure of unrealized profits among Bitcoin holders, stands at 2.83, reflecting growing incentives for profit-taking. While historically, values approaching 3.5 have preceded local tops, the current level—combined with weak stablecoin liquidity—poses risks for consolidation or correction [5]. This metric, alongside the SSR, indicates that market participants may face a delicate balancing act between holding positions and liquidating gains.
Miners’ Position Index (MPI) data reveals a 32% drop to -1.06, signaling reduced selling pressure as miners retain BTC holdings. This restrained approach provides short-term support for the market but introduces volatility risks if prices stall, potentially forcing a shift in miner behavior [6]. Meanwhile, liquidation maps from Binance highlight dense clusters of long positions between $120K and $122K. Approaching these zones could amplify volatility through cascading liquidations, either limiting upward movement or accelerating downward swings depending on price action [7].
The interplay of these factors creates a nuanced outlook for Bitcoin’s near-term prospects. While technical indicators suggest an intact uptrend, liquidity challenges and profit-taking pressures pose significant hurdles. Sustaining gains above $120K will require fresh capital inflows to offset declining stablecoin availability and elevated MVRV risks [8]. Investors must closely monitor key support levels and liquidation clusters, as volatility is likely to intensify in the coming days [9].
The market’s ability to navigate these dynamics will determine whether Bitcoin can break past resistance or face a period of consolidation. With miners’ low selling pressure offering temporary relief, the focus remains on capital flows and sentiment shifts that could tip the balance between bullish and bearish forces.
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9]
https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoins-rising-stablecoin-supply-ratio-suggests-possible-liquidity-challenges-amid-119k-price-range/

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