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Bitcoin has shown resilience near the $119,000 level, with market participants attributing the stability to a reduction in leverage across exchanges, which is seen as reducing the likelihood of a sharp price correction [1]. Over the past few weeks, the asset has experienced a volatile trading environment, swinging between key resistance and support levels amid shifting macroeconomic conditions. The most recent all-time high of $124,457, reached on August 13, was followed by a pullback that pushed prices as low as $117,477 before stabilizing around $119,000 [2]. This stabilization has been accompanied by a noticeable decline in speculative trading activity and leverage ratios [3].
Data from market contributors such as Arab Chain indicates that the leverage ratio has fallen from a peak of 0.27 in late July and early August to approximately 0.25, signaling a moderation in aggressive bullish positioning [4]. This trend, combined with Bitcoin’s ability to maintain its position near $119,000, suggests that the recent upward movement is being driven more by fundamental liquidity rather than speculative fervor [5]. Analysts have noted that if the leverage ratio remains in the range of 0.24–0.25 and the price continues to move incrementally higher, particularly above the $120,000 level, it could mark the start of a more sustained uptrend [4].
However, on-chain indicators suggest that selling pressure could emerge. Increased BTC deposits at major exchanges like Binance and a rise in miner outflows have raised concerns about potential profit-taking, especially after the recent rally [4]. These movements indicate that some market participants may be preparing to offload positions, which could trigger a short-term pullback. Some analysts have warned of a potential correction to around $110,000 to close open fair value gaps [4].
The broader macroeconomic environment has also played a role in Bitcoin’s recent price action. A hot U.S. inflation report and shifting expectations regarding Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have contributed to heightened volatility [6]. For example, the probability of a Fed rate cut in the near term dropped to 90.5% from 99.8% following the release of the July PPI data [6]. This uncertainty has affected risk appetite across asset classes, with
reacting accordingly to macroeconomic cues.In the near term, the market is closely watching Bitcoin’s performance at key levels such as $119,900 and $123,000. A successful breakout above these levels could signal a resumption of the bullish trend that led to the recent ATH, while failure to break through may result in renewed selling pressure [2]. The balance between leverage ratios and price stability will remain a key focal point for traders and investors seeking to gauge the direction of the market [4].
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[1] https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-119000-leverage-reduces-correction/
[2] https://www.xt.com/en/blog/post/btc-slips-below-120k-as-policy-shifts-rattle-markets-is-this-a-setup-for-the-next-big-rally
[3] https://medium.com/@aegetglobal/bitcoin-stabilizes-around-119k-sonic-labs-co-founder-secures-funding-for-flying-tulip-897e70138b92
[4] https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1044832-20250816
[5] https://cryptorank.io/news/tag/bitcoin
[6] https://www.coinglass.com/ru/news/534145
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