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The Altcoin Season Index currently stands at 35, indicating the market is firmly in Bitcoin Season, where Bitcoin outperforms the majority of altcoins over the past 90 days [1]. This metric, tracked by CoinMarketCap, serves as a crucial tool for investors to assess whether the market is favoring Bitcoin or altcoins [1]. A reading below 25 typically signals a stronger Bitcoin Season, while a value above 75 denotes an Altcoin Season, where most altcoins outperform Bitcoin [1].
The index is calculated by comparing the performance of the top 100 cryptocurrencies—excluding stablecoins and wrapped tokens—against Bitcoin over a rolling 90-day period [1]. When 75% or more altcoins outperform Bitcoin, the market is considered to be in Altcoin Season; when 25% or fewer do, it is Bitcoin Season [1]. With the current index at 35, the market favors Bitcoin, reflecting cautious investor sentiment and a preference for capital preservation over speculative exposure to altcoins [1].
Bitcoin Season is characterized by a shift in capital flows toward Bitcoin, which is increasingly viewed as a store of value and a safer asset [1]. During this period, most altcoins tend to underperform, either stagnating or declining in value. Investor sentiment becomes risk-averse, with a reduced appetite for volatile altcoin exposure [1].
COINOTAG experts recommend that investors prioritize Bitcoin accumulation and adopt a selective approach to altcoin investments during this phase [1]. Strategic allocation strategies, such as dollar-cost averaging, can help mitigate the risks associated with Bitcoin’s volatility [1]. Additionally, investors should avoid overexposure to speculative altcoins and instead focus on projects with strong fundamentals and active development [1].
Bitcoin Season also brings about a distinct market narrative, with institutional adoption and macroeconomic factors playing key roles in shaping investor behavior [1]. In contrast, Altcoin Seasons are often driven by innovation and new narratives such as decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and layer-1 blockchain advancements [1].
The transition to an Altcoin Season typically follows Bitcoin’s consolidation phase after a major rally. Key indicators include a decline in Bitcoin dominance, capital rotation into altcoins, and the emergence of new market narratives [1]. While the timing of such a shift is uncertain, investors are advised to monitor Bitcoin dominance charts and altcoin trading volumes for early signals [1].
Investors should not rely solely on the Altcoin Season Index for decision-making but use it in conjunction with thorough research and risk management strategies [1]. Understanding the dynamics of market cycles is essential for optimizing portfolio growth and navigating the evolving crypto landscape [1].
As the market remains in Bitcoin Season, investors are encouraged to adjust their strategies accordingly, focusing on Bitcoin accumulation, selective altcoin exposure, and strict risk controls [1]. The Altcoin Season Index serves as a valuable tool in this process, offering clarity on market sentiment and guiding strategic decisions.
Source: [1] Bitcoin Season Likely Dominates as Altcoin Season Index Holds at 35, Suggesting Cautious Market Sentiment (https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-season-likely-dominates-as-altcoin-season-index-holds-at-35-suggesting-cautious-market-sentiment/)
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