Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Q4 Surge Seen as Potential 2025 Tailwind Following Seasonal and Cyclical Patterns

Bitcoin’s historical performance during the fourth quarter has increasingly drawn attention as a potential indicator of a strong finish for 2025. Analysts note a recurring seasonal pattern of price appreciation in October and November, observed over multiple years [1]. This trend supports the idea that the final months of the year typically offer favorable conditions for Bitcoin, reinforcing expectations of a positive end-of-year trajectory.

Jamie Coutts, an analyst from Real Vision, has echoed this view, suggesting that Bitcoin could see a notable surge during Q4 [2]. His assessment aligns with the historical tendency for the asset to perform well in the final quarter, although no specific price target is provided. The expectation of a "strong finish for 2024" implies continued bullish momentum that could extend into late 2025, according to the analysis [2].

Veteran market analyst Peter Brandt has also contributed to the discussion with a model that traces Bitcoin’s current cycle back to the November 2022 bottom. Based on historical cyclical patterns, the model suggests the cycle could last up to 37 months, pointing to a potential peak in late December 2025 [3]. This projection is not a direct price forecast but rather a structural observation of market timing, emphasizing the cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s price movements.

While these models and seasonal trends offer valuable insight, they should not be interpreted as guarantees. The cryptocurrency market remains influenced by a range of unpredictable factors, including macroeconomic developments and regulatory shifts. Investors are therefore advised to approach these projections with a degree of caution and to remain aware of the inherent volatility of the market.

Taken together, the combination of historical Q4 performance, expert analysis, and cyclical modeling builds a case for optimism regarding Bitcoin’s trajectory as 2025 comes to a close. However, this narrative should be considered within the context of market uncertainties and the need for disciplined risk management.

Source: [1] BTC Futures Contract Trade Ideas - Deribit (https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/DERIBIT-BTCUSD1!/ideas/page-19/?contract=BTCUSD22Q2025&exchange=DERIBIT)

[2] Bitcoin: News & Updates - CryptoDnes.bg (https://cryptodnes.bg/en/tag/bitcoin/page/64/)

[3] Manuel - Veteran market analyst Peter Brandt believes ... (https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=746654684914409&set=a.130****63246274&type=3)