Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Outperforms Nasdaq and Gold With 42.5% CAGR Over 10 Years

Bitcoin continues to demonstrate superior long-term performance compared to traditional assets, according to the latest Bitcoin Intelligence Report. The report highlights that Bitcoin has maintained a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 42.5% over the past decade, significantly outpacing the Nasdaq's 10-year CAGR of 16% and gold’s average growth rate of 10.65% during the same period. Even when adjusted for supply growth, Bitcoin’s returns remain ahead of gold, underscoring its unique value proposition in the global investment landscape [1].

Price models from the report indicate a strong future outlook for Bitcoin. The power-law model, which has accurately tracked Bitcoin’s price trajectory for 16 years, now predicts a slowdown in annual growth from 42.5% to around 30% by 2030. However, this slower pace would still see Bitcoin outperforming gold’s supply-adjusted growth by a factor of three. Another model, the quantile analysis, suggests a base trend of approximately $120,000 for this year, with a strong likelihood of higher prices in the near term [1].

Looking ahead, the report projects that Bitcoin could reach between $150,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. More ambitious long-term forecasts suggest the asset may hit as high as $1.2 million to $1.5 million within the next five years, based on continued institutional adoption, macroeconomic tailwinds, and limited new supply [1].

Current market signals also support a positive outlook. Bitcoin recently set a new all-time high of $124,450 before retreating to around $121,670. On-chain data suggests the market is not yet overheated. Metrics such as the funding rate and the short-term holder (STH) Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) indicate moderate leverage and limited profit-taking, with long-term holders maintaining strong positions [1].

Despite these bullish indicators, some analysts warn of potential short-term risks. Technical analyst Captain Faibik has highlighted bearish signals, including a “9th TD sell candle” and a bearish divergence in the RSI. These patterns, historically associated with price corrections, suggest that the market may be near a short-term peak. Additionally, the formation of a rising wedge on the daily chart reinforces caution among traders [1].

The broader market environment remains supportive of Bitcoin’s growth. Institutional demand is strong, and macroeconomic conditions continue to favor digital assets. While short-term volatility is likely, the long-term trajectory of Bitcoin remains upward. Investors and traders are advised to closely monitor both technical indicators and on-chain activity to gauge the market's next moves [1].

Source:

[1] https://www.livebitcoinnews.com/bitcoin-is-just-getting-started-bitcoin-intelligence-report/