Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's October Dip Sets Up November Rebound as Institutions and Geopolitics Align

Bitcoin's November performance has historically been a standout period for gains, with data suggesting the cryptocurrency's strongest month of the year could be back in 2025. After a volatile October that saw a 3.69% decline-the first negative month since 2018-seasonal patterns and expert forecasts point to a potential rebound. Historical trends show Bitcoin averaging 42.51% gains in November since 2013, with eight of 12 instances closing higher, according to Coinotag found. Analysts are watching to see if the recent dip follows the same trajectory as previous "red Octobers," which have been followed by November surges, such as the 12.82% and 36.57% rallies in 2014 and 2018, respectively .

The October 2025 correction followed a broader market selloff triggered by Trump's threats of new tariffs on China and a $19 billion in liquidations across crypto markets, as LiveBitcoinNews reported. Bitcoin's price fell to a low of $101,000 before stabilizing around $108,000–$116,000 by month-end . Despite the turbulence, traders are shifting toward spot markets, with October's trading volume exceeding $300 billion-a sign of accumulation over speculation . Meanwhile, on-chain metrics show declining exchange balances, indicating holders are moving Bitcoin to self-custody, a bullish signal for long-term price action .

High-profile figures are reinforcing optimism. Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy and Robert Kiyosaki, the "Bailout Billionaire," both predict Bitcoin will double in 2025, with Saylor citing institutional adoption and Kiyosaki emphasizing emotional resilience amid volatility, per a BeInCrypto article. Their bullishness aligns with historical patterns: November's seasonal strength often coincides with renewed institutional interest and holiday-driven buying.

However, the path isn't without risks. Bitcoin ETFs saw $488 million in outflows on October 30, led by BlackRock's IBIT, as investors cashed in amid uncertainty, TradingView reported. Additionally, liquidity constraints and macroeconomic headwinds-such as the Fed's 25-basis-point rate cut-remain potential hurdles. Yet, the market's shift toward spot trading and reduced leverage suggests a more stable foundation for a November rebound .

The geopolitical landscape also plays a role. Bitcoin rose 1.6% to $111,390 following confirmation of a Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea, reigniting hopes for a de-escalation in U.S.-China tensions, according to Barron's coverage. Such developments could bolster risk-on sentiment, further supporting a November rally.

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