Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin near 'mild danger zone' as profit-taking looms and MVRV hits +21%

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Monday, Aug 18, 2025 10:34 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Bitcoin faces "mild danger zone" as investors consider profit-taking, with MVRV ratio at +21% indicating recent buyers are in profit.

- Price fell 6% from $124k peak to $115,800, with 30-day decline of 1.71% despite prior 10% surge lacking macroeconomic support.

- Market awaits Fed's Sept 17 rate decision (83.6% expect cut) while $2.2B in short positions risk liquidation if BTC hits all-time high.

- Large holders (10-10,000 BTC) continue aggressive accumulation post-record high, signaling long-term bullish confidence.

Bitcoin appears to be in a "mild danger zone" as investors consider taking profits, according to recent analysis. An overvaluation metric, the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, currently stands at +21%, suggesting that the average investor who bought

in the past year is in a profitable position. This has increased the likelihood of profit-taking, according to Santiment, a cryptocurrency sentiment platform [1].

Bitcoin’s price was recently trading at around $115,800, approximately 6% below its record high of $124,128 reached earlier in the week. Over the past 30 days, Bitcoin has fallen by 1.71%, according to CoinMarketCap [1]. The cryptocurrency saw a 10% price surge in the nine days leading up to its peak but then quickly lost momentum due to the lack of macroeconomic catalysts to support a continued rally, according to Bitfinex analysts [1].

The market is now in a consolidation phase, with investors adopting a wait-and-watch approach ahead of potential macroeconomic triggers. One such trigger is the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate decision on September 17. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, 83.6% of market participants expect a rate cut [1]. In the meantime, Bitcoin shorts are also accumulating positions, with around $2.2 billion in short positions at risk of liquidation if Bitcoin returns to its all-time high, according to CoinGlass [1].

Despite the near-term volatility, Santiment noted that Bitcoin’s largest holders—those holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC—have continued to accumulate aggressively, even after the recent record high. This suggests that whales remain confident in future price appreciation [1].

Source: [1] Bitcoin at ‘mild danger zone’ as BTC investors eye profit-taking (https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/68a3e17a9ef597605f476ad2/)