Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's Mayer Multiple: A Full Fuel Tank for the Next Bull Surge


Bitcoin's Mayer Multiple, a key on-chain indicator measuring the ratio of its price to the 200-week moving average, currently stands at 1.16, significantly below the historical overbought threshold of 2.4 [1]. This reading suggests that BitcoinBTC-- remains in a "healthy growth phase," with substantial upside potential before signaling market exhaustion. Analysts estimate that Bitcoin would need to rise toward $180,000 to reach the 2.4 level, indicating a potential continuation of the bull run [2].
The current Mayer Multiple reading contrasts sharply with previous bull cycles, such as in 2017 and 2021, when the metric spiked above 2.4, reflecting speculative fervor and overbought conditions [3]. In contrast, this cycle has shown a more controlled and sustainable trajectory. For instance, in March 2024, the Mayer Multiple peaked at 1.84 when Bitcoin traded near $72,000, according to data from Glassnode [4]. This cooler reading implies a prolonged accumulation phase, with institutional investors potentially continuing to add to positions [5].
Crypto quantQNT-- analysts, including Frank A. Fetter, have highlighted the "ice cold" nature of Bitcoin's current price action despite hitting record highs. Fetter noted that the metric's proximity to oversold levels (0.8) rather than overbought territory (2.4) supports a bullish outlook [6]. Similarly, Axel Adler Jr. described a Mayer Multiple near 1.1 as a "good fuel reserve for a new upward impulse," reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin's long-term uptrend remains intact [7].
However, short-term volatility remains a factor. Analysts warn of potential corrections, with a 10% dip to $114,000 considered possible before another leg higher . October, traditionally a strong month for Bitcoin, is expected to see choppy price action, though the long-term trajectory remains positive . If Bitcoin fails to break out decisively by year-end, some fear the bull market could lose momentum .
The Mayer Multiple's historical reliability as a long-term valuation tool has been underscored by its consistent correlation with market extremes. While it does not predict exact timing for price tops, it provides context for accumulation versus distribution phases . For now, the data suggests Bitcoin's rally has more room to run, with the $180,000 target representing a critical psychological and technical milestone .
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