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Bitcoin’s long-term holder activity has emerged as a critical factor in gaunting potential market shifts, according to recent analysis from on-chain data platforms. As of late August 2025, long-term holders (LTHs)—investors who have held
for over a year—have been gradually reducing their balances, with a net change of -21.5K BTC observed over the period. Despite this, the level of selling pressure remains low, which may support Bitcoin’s upward momentum [1].The price of Bitcoin has fluctuated within a narrow range of $118,440 to $122,312, with a 2.43% drop reported for the day. However, it continues to show resilience with positive weekly and monthly performance. The behavior of LTHs, who are selling less aggressively compared to previous bull cycles, suggests a potential deviation from historical patterns [1]. This has led analysts to speculate that the current market dynamics may be shifting toward a more patient and strategic accumulation phase.
Historically, LTHs have been known to increase selling activity during price peaks, but recent data shows a steadier and less intense reduction in their holdings. This trend indicates a more measured approach, possibly signaling a broader shift in investor sentiment and behavior [1]. Additionally, realized profits among LTHs have declined, pointing to the possibility that selling pressure is easing despite Bitcoin’s high price levels [1].
The implications of these trends are significant for the market. With LTHs reducing their balances at a slower pace, it suggests that the supply of Bitcoin available for sale is being tightly controlled. This dynamic could help limit downward pressure on the price and potentially support an eventual breakout. Furthermore, the reduced selling rates among long-term holders are contributing to price stability, even amid significant short-term volatility [1].
Bitcoin’s price action over the past month has also been influenced by broader macroeconomic factors, including expectations of accommodative U.S. Federal Reserve policies and the growing institutional interest in the asset. Institutional demand has played a role in supporting Bitcoin’s price, as seen in a recent one-day rally of 2.84% to $121,625 on August 11, 2025 [3]. These developments have reinforced the narrative of Bitcoin as a strategic asset, attracting long-term investors who are less influenced by daily price swings.
As the market continues to consolidate, the behavior of LTHs will remain a key indicator for future price movements. Their cautious approach to selling, coupled with a shrinking realized profit pool, may signal a market in transition. While some analysts predict the price could remain in its current range, others believe a stronger buying force could push Bitcoin higher, especially if long-term holders continue to retain their positions [1][2].
Source: [1] Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder Trends May Indicate Future Market Shifts and Impact Price Movements (https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoins-long-term-holder-trends-may-indicate-future-market-shifts-and-impact-price-movements/)
[2] Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2025 2026 2027 - 2030 (https://changelly.com/blog/bitcoin-price-prediction/)
[3] Why Bitcoin Price Is Surging Today? Bulls Target $140K BTC as Crypto Rally Accelerates (https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/why-bitcoin-price-is-surging-today-bulls-target-140k-btc-as-crypto-rally-accelerates/)

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