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Bitcoin’s Long/Short Ratio (LSR) has historically been a key indicator for identifying market bottoms, particularly when it surpasses the LSR of altcoins. This signal, though not yet triggered, is being closely monitored by traders as a potential contrarian indicator that could signal a significant price bottom for
.Analyst Joao Wedson recently highlighted this signal in a post, emphasizing that while there is optimism in the web3 market, the LSR crossover has not yet activated. This signal is derived from real-time data and leverages the balance between leveraged long and short positions in crypto futures markets. Historically, when Bitcoin’s LSR exceeds that of altcoins, it often precedes price bottoms, cutting through short-term hype and sentiment-driven rallies.
For the LSR crossover signal to trigger, two conditions must align: a drop in Bitcoin’s price that pushes its LSR higher due to increased long interest from dip buyers, and a relative decline in altcoin LSRs, which typically rise during bull runs as traders pile into high-risk bets. The current market behavior does not reflect these conditions, suggesting that the bottom may not have been reached yet. Alphractal’s LSR heatmap, which visualizes leverage activity across BTC and altcoins, shows that altcoin traders are still aggressively long, while Bitcoin’s LSR hasn’t spiked, indicating that euphoria may be premature.
Wedson advises against relying solely on bullish momentum and encourages combining the LSR crossover with other indicators such as the Puell Multiple or the Pi Cycle Top to gain a broader understanding of market cycles. Given that derivatives trading now dominates the crypto market, understanding leverage sentiment is crucial. Tools like the LSR can offer a significant edge in this environment, providing insights that are more relevant than ever.
For traders seeking the next best Bitcoin entry point, patience is advised. If history is any guide, the signal’s eventual trigger could offer a strong buying opportunity—one worth waiting for. The LSR crossover, along with other technical indicators, provides a compelling case for a potential bottom in Bitcoin's price. However, it is important to remain cautious and use a variety of analytical tools to make informed investment decisions.

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