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VanEck has reaffirmed its bold prediction that
will reach $180,000 by the end of 2025, despite recent market fluctuations. The firm's latest ChainCheck report, published in mid-August, outlines a range of factors supporting this target, including strong institutional inflows, corporate adoption of Bitcoin, and favorable on-chain metrics. According to the report, 92% of on-chain Bitcoin holdings are currently in profit, and the asset's recent all-time high of approximately $124,457 reinforces the firm’s conviction in its upward trajectory. The report highlights that the market has seen continued institutional inflows, with corporate treasuries and digital asset-focused entities such as MicroStrategy maintaining momentum even amid market volatility [1].VanEck’s analysis also notes that the mining landscape remains robust despite record-breaking mining difficulty. Mining revenues are holding up, and the United States is consolidating its share of the global Bitcoin hashrate, contributing to a stronger market foundation [1]. While the firm acknowledges risks—such as Ethereum's growing institutional adoption and potential volatility triggered by treasury dynamics—it has doubled down on its price target. VanEck's optimism is grounded in the maturation of Bitcoin as an institutional-grade asset, driven by deep-pocketed institutional players steering the market. This shift is reshaping the market's dynamics, reducing extreme volatility and promoting a more stable price environment [2].
The firm's report also delves into
Treasuries (DATs), noting that public Bitcoin treasuries now hold 951,000 BTC. However, DATs have seen some mNAV compression due to muted volatility, which could limit capital-raising capabilities. Despite this, VanEck remains confident in the long-term growth potential of Bitcoin, particularly as it gains further institutional legitimacy [1]. The report cites Metaplanet as an example of a DAT benefiting from regulatory and financial advantages, although other DATs such as MSTR and MTPLF have seen declines in their mNAs. This highlights the importance of volatility in sustaining capital-raising within the DAT sector [2].Bitcoin’s potential to reach $180,000 by year-end is further supported by broader macroeconomic and structural developments. The report notes that corporate capital is playing a key role in maintaining lower volatility, which benefits the broader market. Additionally, the mining sector is adapting to new challenges, with firms like
(WULF) exploring partnerships with AI infrastructure providers such as Fluidstack, backed by . This integration of AI and Bitcoin mining infrastructure could enhance scalability and efficiency in the sector [1].VanEck’s analysis also highlights the importance of Bitcoin’s evolving utility. While Bitcoin has seen record highs, its base layer remains constrained in terms of scalability and transaction speed, limiting its adoption for high-volume usage. This is where projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) are gaining traction. By offering a Layer-2 solution with zero-knowledge proof settlement, $HYPER aims to address these limitations and enable faster, cost-effective transactions on a Bitcoin-based network. The project has already raised over $10.6 million in its presale, with token prices set at $0.012755 and offering a 103% APY for stakers [1]. While the project is still in its early stages, it is positioned as a potential complement to Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition by enhancing its utility for everyday transactions and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
Despite these positive developments, VanEck cautions that Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains subject to risks, particularly prolonged periods of low volatility that could hinder capital-raising for corporate treasuries and exacerbate downward price movements. Additionally, as autumn approaches, the report notes that large outstanding options positions may amplify price swings due to dealer hedging strategies. However, these risks are balanced by the growing institutional and corporate interest in Bitcoin, which VanEck views as a critical driver of its long-term performance [1].
VanEck’s $180,000 BTC price target reflects a broader shift in the cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin is increasingly seen as a legitimate institutional asset. This transition is supported by a maturing ecosystem, enhanced regulatory clarity, and the growing adoption of Bitcoin by corporations. As the firm notes, while Bitcoin is no longer driven solely by retail speculation, it remains subject to market dynamics that require ongoing monitoring [1].
Source:
[1] VanEck's $180K Bitcoin Prediction Sends Bitcoin Hyper ... (https://bitcoinist.com/vaneck-bitcoin-prediction-bitcoin-hyper-soaring/)
[2] VanEck Predicts Bitcoin to Hit $180000 by End of 2025 (https://bitbo.io/news/vaneck-bitcoin-180k-prediction/)

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