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Bitcoin faces growing downward pressure following a major whale moving 25,000 BTC, valued at $940 million, out of
Pro. This outflow marks the largest since the price crash in June 2025 and signals increased bearish sentiment among institutional participants. On-chain data reveals that held on exchanges has reached its lowest level in four years, highlighting a shift in market dynamics as investors move holdings to cold storage or long-term wallets [2].The recent movement coincides with a broader divergence between Bitcoin’s price action and traditional stock market performance. While equities have shown resilience, Bitcoin has failed to follow suit, with analysts attributing this to a combination of macroeconomic factors and waning speculative demand. A recent report noted that the cryptocurrency has lost key multiyear support levels, raising concerns over a potential breakdown below the $100,000 psychological threshold [2].
Technical indicators also paint a bearish picture. A bearish divergence in momentum metrics, combined with a breakdown of critical resistance levels, has triggered warnings of further price declines. Analysts have pointed to the $92,000 to $70,000 range as a potential target for Bitcoin, depending on the strength of the ongoing correction. Some models suggest a 10–15% drop if key support levels near $89,000 are not retested successfully [1].
Moreover, the broader macroeconomic environment remains a concern. Analysts have linked Bitcoin’s downward pressure to tightening liquidity conditions, slowing demand in futures and spot markets, and increased volatility in global financial assets. A recent study highlighted that a 60% drop in trading volume could trigger a 33% price crash, pushing Bitcoin to as low as $49,000 in extreme scenarios. However, such predictions remain speculative and depend on the evolution of market conditions in the coming weeks [1].
Despite the bearish outlook, not all analysts agree on the trajectory. Some argue that Bitcoin may stabilize in the $70,000–$95,000 range and begin an accumulation phase ahead of a potential rebound. A CMT-certified analyst noted that while a $38,000–$42,000 bottom is a possibility, such a level would require a prolonged bear market and further capitulation from retail and institutional participants [1].
The move by a large whale out of Coinbase Pro raises questions about market positioning and confidence in the short-term outlook. On-chain activity suggests that investors are taking a defensive stance, with increased outflows from exchanges and a shift in cost basis toward higher levels. Analysts warn that if the $111,000 support is breached, further selloffs could follow, pushing Bitcoin closer to the $90,000 level and beyond [2].
Bitcoin’s price action remains closely tied to broader financial market trends. The divergence between crypto and stocks has drawn attention from traders and investors alike, with many suggesting that Bitcoin’s next move will depend on macroeconomic data, geopolitical events, and potential regulatory developments. As market participants brace for further volatility, the path of least resistance appears to be downward in the near term.
Source:
[1] This Bear Market Indicator Says Bitcoin Price Is Headed ... (https://blockchair.com/fa/news/bitcoin-price-crash-to-40000-2--dcfe58a5a74780fc)
[2] Bitcoin fails to rally with stocks as $940 million of the crypto is pulled from exchange favored by institutions (https://cryptoeguide.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-fails-to-rally-with-stocks-as-940-million-of-the-crypto-is-pulled-from-exchange-favored-by-institutions-cnbc/)

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